NAC Breda 0:2 Excelsior: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Friday, 06/02/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

NAC Breda Home 1.08 xG

Excelsior Away 0.86 xG

02 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

NAC Breda Excelsior

Shots: 15; 9
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

NAC Breda

1.06 xG created 1.34 xGA

D 1.20 created, 0.66 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 0.73 created, 1.48 conceded against SC Telstar
D 0.82 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Groningen
L 0.82 created, 1.19 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
D 1.50 created, 1.79 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.26 created, 1.63 conceded against FC Twente

Excelsior

1.10 xG created 1.43 xGA

W 1.71 created, 1.18 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 0.50 created, 2.30 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.48 created, 1.44 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.12 created, 1.85 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 0.99 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Twente
D 0.80 created, 0.63 conceded against AFC Ajax

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NAC Breda: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Excelsior 1:0 NAC Breda 29/11/2025 xG 0.95 – 1.67

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.