Heracles Almelo 1:2 FC Groningen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo Home 0.64 xG

FC Groningen Away 1.17 xG

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo FC Groningen

Shots: 11; 16
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 10; 10
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heracles Almelo

1.11 xG created 1.84 xGA

D 1.52 created, 1.06 conceded against Excelsior
L 1.33 created, 3.42 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 1.19 created, 1.92 conceded against AFC Ajax
L 0.78 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.00 created, 0.62 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 0.85 created, 2.71 conceded against SC Telstar

FC Groningen

1.79 xG created 1.52 xGA

W 2.50 created, 1.73 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 2.36 created, 1.28 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.72 created, 0.82 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 1.46 created, 1.64 conceded against Feyenoord
L 1.14 created, 2.58 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.56 created, 1.08 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Groningen 4:0 Heracles Almelo 29/08/2025 xG 1.59 – 0.48

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.