xgEdge

Expected goals

Club Brugge KV expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Club Brugge KV's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Club Brugge KV xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.16 xG per match
#1/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
15.11 7 matches
Defence
1.20 xGA per match
#6/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
8.42 7 matches
xG difference
+0.96 xGD per match
#2/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.69 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.90 xPts per match
#3/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
13.32 vs 18 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Club Brugge KV's underlying numbers are among the best in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.96 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 15 goals are 0.11 below 15.11 xG, while 18 points are 4.68 above 13.32 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.56 xG from penalties
15 15.11 -0.11 scored 0.11 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
3 8.42 -5.42 conceded 5.42 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
18 13.32 +4.68 4.68 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Club Brugge KV are 0.11 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -1.60, against Cercle Brugge on Sun 23/08.

Goals
15
xG
15.11
Gap
-0.11
Fri 07/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.85 -0.77 -1.60 -1.25 -1.05 -0.99 -0.11 -0.85 +0.08 -0.83 +0.35 +0.20 +0.06 +0.88 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Club Brugge KV: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 07/08 KV Kortrijk 3 3.85 -0.85 -0.85
Sat 15/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 2.92 +0.08 -0.77
Sun 23/08 Cercle Brugge 1 1.83 -0.83 -1.60
Sun 30/08 KAA Gent 1 0.65 +0.35 -1.25
Fri 04/09 Lommel SK 1 0.80 +0.20 -1.05
Sun 13/09 Royal Antwerp FC 3 2.94 +0.06 -0.99
Sun 20/09 KRC Genk 3 2.12 +0.88 -0.11

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Club Brugge KV xG trend

Current form +0.50 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against KAA Gent on Sun 30/08 (-0.75).

npxG · last 6
1.77
npxGA · last 6
1.27
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.94 Fri 07/08 +2.35 Sat 15/08 +1.12 Sun 23/08 -0.75 Sun 30/08 +0.46 Fri 04/09 -0.01 Sun 13/09 -0.19 Sun 20/09 +0.70 season avg
Club Brugge KV: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 07/08 KV Kortrijk 2.96 1.02 +1.94 +1.94
Sat 15/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3.07 0.72 +2.35 +2.14
Sun 23/08 Cercle Brugge 1.83 0.71 +1.12 +1.80
Sun 30/08 KAA Gent 0.65 1.40 -0.75 +1.17
Fri 04/09 Lommel SK 1.11 0.65 +0.46 +1.02
Sun 13/09 Royal Antwerp FC 2.16 2.17 -0.01 +0.85
Sun 20/09 KRC Genk 1.77 1.96 -0.19 +0.70

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.94 npxG and 1.23 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 15 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 11 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 15 hardest of 18

  1. KRC Genk Home +0.33
  2. Royal Antwerp FC Home −0.25
  3. Lommel SK Away −0.43
  4. KAA Gent Away +0.09
  5. Cercle Brugge Home +0.16
  6. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Away −0.25
  7. KV Kortrijk Home −0.30

Last 5

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 18

  1. KRC Genk Home +0.33
  2. Royal Antwerp FC Home −0.25
  3. Lommel SK Away −0.43
  4. KAA Gent Away +0.09
  5. Cercle Brugge Home +0.16

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Club Brugge KV shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Club Brugge KV take 18.7 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #1 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #6 for quality. 76% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
18.7 shots per match
#1/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
131 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#6/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
13.55 npxG from 131 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.1 shots per match
#6/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
92 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#8/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
8.63 npxGA from 92 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

76% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 99 of 131 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 54 of 92 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.6 of 13.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.4 of 8.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Club Brugge KV home and away xG

Club Brugge KV per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 2.69 1.46
xGA / match 1.42 0.92
xGD / match +1.27 +0.54
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.11 1.63

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Club Brugge KV match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
2.16
xGA / match
1.20
xGD / match
+0.96
Points
18 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 KRC Genk H xG 2.12 xGA 1.96 xGD +0.16
  2. Sun 13/09 Royal Antwerp FC H xG 2.94 P xGA 2.09 xGD +0.85
  3. Fri 04/09 Lommel SK A xG 0.80 xGA 0.65 xGD +0.15
  4. Sun 30/08 KAA Gent A Weakest underlying xG 0.65 xGA 1.38 xGD -0.73
  5. Sun 23/08 Cercle Brugge H xG 1.83 xGA 0.76 xGD +1.07
  6. Sat 15/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven A xG 2.92 xGA 0.72 xGD +2.20
  7. Fri 07/08 KV Kortrijk H Best underlying xG 3.85 P xGA 0.86 xGD +2.99

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.85. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Club Brugge KV in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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