Sunday, 08/11/2026 at 13:30
33d 6h to kick-offClub Brugge KV – RSC Anderlecht
Model updated 6 October, 06:58 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- Club Brugge KV
- 51%
- Draw
- 25%
- RSC Anderlecht
- 23%
| Club Brugge KV | Draw | RSC Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.94 | 3.97 | 4.28 |
- Total goals
- 3.35
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Both teams to score
- 69%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans Club Brugge KV
51% Club Brugge KV to win
- Attack
- 1st vs 5th
- Club Brugge KV attack v RSC Anderlecht defence
- Defence
- 8th vs 5th
- Club Brugge KV defence v RSC Anderlecht attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.62 vs +0.50
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.99 – 1.36
- Club Brugge KV v RSC Anderlecht
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | Club Brugge KV | RSC Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 2.16 · 1st | 1.62 · 8th |
| xGA / match | 1.20 · 6th | (better) 0.87 · 2nd |
| xGD / match | (better) +0.96 · 2nd | +0.76 · 4th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.90 · 3rd | 1.88 · 4th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.62 | +0.50 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 30% of the model's distribution.
- Club Brugge KV clean sheet
- 23%
- Club Brugge KV 2+ goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- Both teams to score: no
- 31%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 11.2%
- 2:1
- 10.8%
- 2:2
- 7.7%
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Club Brugge KV sample
- 20 matches
- RSC Anderlecht sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · Club Brugge KV
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · RSC Anderlecht
- 3 matches
- Computed
- Tuesday, 06/10/2026 at 06:58
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.