xgEdge

KV Kortrijk's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses

3 pts 2–9 goals −7 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.27 – 8.38
1.05 – 1.68 per match
xGD
-3.11
-0.62 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

3 pts 5.0 xPts

−2.0 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

KV Kortrijk's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches, for −3.11 xG difference overall on 5.27–8.38. Their points total of 3 sits 2.0 below the model's 5.0 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results KV Kortrijk are 2.00 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.35, against RAAL La Louvière on Sun 13/09.

Points
3
xPts
5.00
Gap
-2.00
Sat 29/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.98 -1.47 -2.22 -2.35 -2.00 -0.98 -0.49 -0.75 -0.13 +0.35 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
KV Kortrijk: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 29/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 0 0.98 -0.98 -0.98
Thu 03/09 RSC Anderlecht 0 0.49 -0.49 -1.47
Sun 06/09 SV Zulte Waregem 0 0.75 -0.75 -2.22
Sun 13/09 RAAL La Louvière 0 0.13 -0.13 -2.35
Sun 20/09 SK Beveren 3 2.65 +0.35 -2.00

Scores and xG

KV Kortrijk first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.25

    xGA 0.42

    xGD +1.83

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Beveren, Sun 20/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.66
    Points minus xPts
    +0.34

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.81

    xGA 3.58

    xGD -2.77

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Sun 13/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.13
    Points minus xPts
    -0.13

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.55

    xGA 1.19

    xGD -0.64

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sun 06/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.75
    Points minus xPts
    -0.75

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.46

    xGA 1.50

    xGD -1.04

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Thu 03/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.49
    Points minus xPts
    -0.49

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.20

    xGA 1.69

    xGD -0.49

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RC Sporting Charleroi, Sat 29/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.98
    Points minus xPts
    -0.98

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest underperformance

RC Sporting Charleroi 1:3

· Home xG / xGA 1.20 – 1.69

Goal difference
-2
xGD
-0.49
GD minus xGD
-1.51

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →