xgEdge

Royal Antwerp FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses

7 pts 11–15 goals −4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
9.35 – 16.11
1.34 – 2.30 per match
xGD
-6.76
-0.97 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 7.0 xPts

0.0 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Royal Antwerp FC's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches, for −6.76 xG difference overall on 9.35–16.11. Their points total of 7 lands on the model's 7.0 xPts, so the results have followed the chances closely.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results Royal Antwerp FC are 0.02 points below their xPts.

Points
7
xPts
7.02
Gap
-0.02
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.74 +2.03 +1.24 +1.10 +0.94 +0.05 -0.02 +0.74 +1.29 -0.79 -0.14 -0.16 -0.89 -0.07 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Royal Antwerp FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 SK Beveren 3 2.26 +0.74 +0.74
Sat 15/08 KV Kortrijk 3 1.71 +1.29 +2.03
Sat 22/08 KRC Genk 1 1.79 -0.79 +1.24
Sun 30/08 Sint-Truidense VV 0 0.14 -0.14 +1.10
Sat 05/09 Standard Liège 0 0.16 -0.16 +0.94
Sun 13/09 Club Brugge KV 0 0.89 -0.89 +0.05
Sun 20/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.07 -0.07 -0.02

Scores and xG

Royal Antwerp FC first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.41

    xGA 3.34

    xGD -2.93

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.07
    Points minus xPts
    -0.07

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 2.09

    xGA 2.94

    xGD -0.85

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 13/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.89
    Points minus xPts
    -0.89

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.83

    xGA 3.42

    xGD -2.59

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Sat 05/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.16
    Points minus xPts
    -0.16

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.77

    xGA 3.38

    xGD -2.61

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.14
    Points minus xPts
    -0.14

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.86

    xGA 1.30

    xGD +0.56

    4:4 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KRC Genk, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.79
    Points minus xPts
    -0.79

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.19

    xGA 0.77

    xGD +0.42

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Kortrijk, Sat 15/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.71
    Points minus xPts
    +1.29

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.20

    xGA 0.96

    xGD +1.24

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Beveren, Sun 09/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.26
    Points minus xPts
    +0.74

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

KV Kortrijk 3:0

· Away xG / xGA 1.19 – 0.77

Goal difference
+3
xGD
+0.42
GD minus xGD
+2.58

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Club Brugge KV 1:3

· Away xG / xGA 2.09 – 2.94

Goal difference
-2
xGD
-0.85
GD minus xGD
-1.15

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →