Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 10/05/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Barcelona Home 1.01 xG · 10 shots

Real Madrid Away 0.85 xG · 8 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

9' Marcus Rashford Barcelona · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
18' Ferran Torres Barcelona · 0.20 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Barcelona Real Madrid

Shots: 10; 8
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 9; 7
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.85; 0.58
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.99 for Barcelona and 0.79 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.76 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Barcelona

1.80 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 1.36 created, 1.83 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.22 created, 0.92 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 2.81 created, 1.17 conceded against Espanyol
W 1.23 created, 1.41 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.88 created, 0.63 conceded against Getafe
W 1.29 created, 0.80 conceded against Osasuna

Real Madrid

1.82 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 2.42 created, 1.00 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 1.27 created, 1.22 conceded against Mallorca
D 2.30 created, 0.52 conceded against Girona FC
W 1.62 created, 1.76 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
D 1.19 created, 1.08 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.10 created, 1.21 conceded against Espanyol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Barcelona: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Madrid 2:1 Barcelona 26/10/2025 xG 3.63 – 1.03

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.