Real Madrid 2:1 Deportivo Alavés: xG & match report · La Liga

Tuesday, 21/04/2026 at 21:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 1.62 xG · 24 shots

Deportivo Alavés Away 1.76 xG · 19 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

30' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
50' Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · 0.01 xG chance 2–0
90' Toni Martínez Deportivo Alavés · 0.55 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Deportivo Alavés

Shots: 24; 19
On target: 8; 5
Inside the box: 12; 13
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.06; 1.50
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.60
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.69 for Real Madrid and 2.07 for Deportivo Alavés.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

43 shots · 3.79 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

1.61 xG created 0.85 xGA

L 1.57 created, 0.49 conceded against Getafe
W 0.87 created, 1.05 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.25 created, 0.84 conceded against Elche
W 2.42 created, 1.00 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 1.27 created, 1.22 conceded against Mallorca
D 2.30 created, 0.52 conceded against Girona FC

Deportivo Alavés

1.29 xG created 1.62 xGA

L 1.31 created, 2.48 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.33 created, 2.63 conceded against Valencia
D 0.21 created, 0.54 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.73 created, 1.82 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 2.04 created, 1.30 conceded against Osasuna
D 1.13 created, 0.94 conceded against Real Sociedad

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Madrid: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Deportivo Alavés 1:2 Real Madrid 14/12/2025 xG 1.36 – 1.83

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.