Deportivo Alavés 0:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Deportivo Alavés Home 0.67 xG · 5 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.37 xG · 7 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

55' Iago Aspas (pen.) Celta Vigo · 0.82 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Deportivo Alavés Celta Vigo

Shots: 5; 7
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 4; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.20
Open play xG: 0.25; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.11
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.41 for Deportivo Alavés and 0.59 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

12 shots · 1.80 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Deportivo Alavés
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Deportivo Alavés

1.34 xG created 0.80 xGA

L 0.78 created, 0.74 conceded against Mallorca
W 2.42 created, 0.38 conceded against Elche
D 0.74 created, 0.45 conceded against Valencia
L 0.84 created, 1.18 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.43 created, 1.18 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.84 created, 0.85 conceded against Girona FC

Celta Vigo

1.36 xG created 2.04 xGA

L 0.77 created, 3.58 conceded against Elche
D 1.92 created, 0.30 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 0.95 created, 1.55 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.96 created, 2.31 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.00 created, 1.20 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.58 created, 3.31 conceded against Barcelona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.