Deportivo Alavés 1:2 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 23/05/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Deportivo Alavés Home 1.63 xG · 19 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 1.34 xG · 15 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

13' Toni Martínez Deportivo Alavés · 0.52 xG chance 1–0
73' Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano · 0.25 xG chance 1–1
90' Randy Nteka Rayo Vallecano · 0.21 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 19; 15
On target: 11; 7
Inside the box: 11; 8
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.04; 1.22
Set-piece xG: 0.68; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.69 for Deportivo Alavés and 1.34 for Rayo Vallecano.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 3.04 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Deportivo Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Deportivo Alavés

1.28 xG created 0.88 xGA

L 1.76 created, 1.62 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.22 created, 0.22 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.49 created, 0.97 conceded against Athletic Club
D 2.05 created, 1.39 conceded against Elche
W 0.72 created, 0.60 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.46 created, 0.45 conceded against Real Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano

1.44 xG created 1.38 xGA

W 1.60 created, 1.96 conceded against Espanyol
D 2.38 created, 2.23 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Getafe
D 1.20 created, 0.98 conceded against Girona FC
D 1.16 created, 0.76 conceded against Valencia
W 1.49 created, 0.97 conceded against Villarreal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Deportivo Alavés: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Deportivo Alavés 26/10/2025 xG 1.18 – 0.84

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.