Sevilla 2:1 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 21:30

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Match report · La Liga

Sevilla Home 2.19 xG · 13 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 1.89 xG · 6 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Álvaro García Rayo Vallecano · 1.00 xG chance 0–1
52' Jon Guridi (pen.) Sevilla · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
90' Peque Fernández (pen.) Sevilla · 0.82 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Sevilla Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 13; 6
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.33
Open play xG: 0.48; 1.62
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.36
Penalties: 2; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.72 for Sevilla and 2.00 for Rayo Vallecano.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 4.36 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sevilla

1.00 xG created 0.94 xGA

L 0.40 created, 1.43 conceded against Osasuna
W 1.82 created, 0.16 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.38 created, 0.61 conceded against Espanyol
W 0.87 created, 0.83 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.72 created, 1.00 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.80 created, 1.59 conceded against Celta Vigo

Rayo Vallecano

1.40 xG created 1.33 xGA

D 2.38 created, 2.23 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Getafe
D 1.20 created, 0.98 conceded against Girona FC
D 1.16 created, 0.76 conceded against Valencia
W 1.49 created, 0.97 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.34 created, 1.63 conceded against Deportivo Alavés

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Sevilla: 1 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.