xgEdge

Académico Viseu FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses

8 pts 7–4 goals +3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.89 – 7.11
1.47 – 1.78 per match
xGD
-1.22
-0.31 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

8 pts 4.9 xPts

+3.1 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

Académico Viseu FC's winning record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 4 matches, for −1.22 xG difference overall on 5.89–7.11. Their points total of 8 sits 3.1 above the model's 4.9 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances. The win against Gil Vicente came with −1.55 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Académico Viseu FC are 3.10 points above their xPts.

Points
8
xPts
4.90
Gap
+3.10
Sun 09/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.66 -0.13 +2.60 +3.10 +0.66 -0.79 +2.73 +0.50 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Académico Viseu FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Benfica 1 0.34 +0.66 +0.66
Sat 22/08 Marítimo 1 1.79 -0.79 -0.13
Sun 06/09 Gil Vicente 3 0.27 +2.73 +2.60
Sun 20/09 CF Estrela Amadora 3 2.50 +0.50 +3.10

Scores and xG

Académico Viseu FC first

  • Away Liga Portugal Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.54

    xGA 0.84

    xGD +1.70

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · CF Estrela Amadora, Sun 20/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.50
    Points minus xPts
    +0.50

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Liga Portugal Win against the chances

    xG 0.33

    xGA 1.88

    xGD -1.55

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Gil Vicente, Sun 06/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    0.27
    Points minus xPts
    +2.73

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Liga Portugal Draw against the chances

    xG 1.84

    xGA 1.28

    xGD +0.56

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Marítimo, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.79
    Points minus xPts
    -0.79

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Liga Portugal Draw against the chances

    xG 1.18

    xGA 3.11

    xGD -1.93

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Benfica, Sun 09/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.34
    Points minus xPts
    +0.66

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →