xgEdge

Académico Viseu FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses

11 pts 9–9 goals 0 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
9.10 – 11.95
1.30 – 1.71 per match
xGD
-2.85
-0.41 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 5 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

11 pts 7.6 xPts

+3.4 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Académico Viseu FC's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches, for −2.85 xG difference overall on 9.10–11.95. Their points total of 11 sits 3.4 above the model's 7.6 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances. The win against Gil Vicente came with −1.55 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results Académico Viseu FC are 3.42 points above their xPts.

Points
11
xPts
7.58
Gap
+3.42
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.66 -0.07 -0.86 -1.63 +1.10 +2.91 +3.42 +0.66 -0.73 -0.79 -0.77 +2.73 +1.81 +0.51 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Académico Viseu FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Benfica 1 0.34 +0.66 +0.66
Sat 15/08 Santa Clara 0 0.73 -0.73 -0.07
Sat 22/08 Marítimo 1 1.79 -0.79 -0.86
Sat 29/08 FC Porto 0 0.77 -0.77 -1.63
Sun 06/09 Gil Vicente 3 0.27 +2.73 +1.10
Sat 12/09 Vitória SC 3 1.19 +1.81 +2.91
Sun 20/09 CF Estrela Amadora 3 2.49 +0.51 +3.42

Scores and xG

Académico Viseu FC first

  • Away Liga Portugal Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.54

    xGA 0.84

    xGD +1.70

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · CF Estrela Amadora, Sun 20/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.50
    Points minus xPts
    +0.50

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Liga Portugal Win against the chances

    xG 1.83

    xGA 2.10

    xGD -0.27

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Vitória SC, Sat 12/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.19
    Points minus xPts
    +1.81

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Liga Portugal Win against the chances

    xG 0.33

    xGA 1.88

    xGD -1.55

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Gil Vicente, Sun 06/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    0.27
    Points minus xPts
    +2.73

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Liga Portugal Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.80

    xGA 1.47

    xGD -0.67

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Porto, Sat 29/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.77
    Points minus xPts
    -0.77

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Liga Portugal Draw against the chances

    xG 1.84

    xGA 1.28

    xGD +0.56

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Marítimo, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.79
    Points minus xPts
    -0.79

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Liga Portugal Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.58

    xGA 1.27

    xGD -0.69

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Santa Clara, Sat 15/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.72
    Points minus xPts
    -0.72

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Liga Portugal Draw against the chances

    xG 1.18

    xGA 3.11

    xGD -1.93

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Benfica, Sun 09/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.34
    Points minus xPts
    +0.66

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Gil Vicente 1:0

· Away xG / xGA 0.33 – 1.88

Goal difference
+1
xGD
-1.55
GD minus xGD
+2.55

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Porto 0:3

· Home xG / xGA 0.80 – 1.47

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-0.67
GD minus xGD
-2.33

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →