CF Estrela Amadora 1:2 FC Porto: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 26/04/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · Liga Portugal

CF Estrela Amadora Home 1.68 xG

FC Porto Away 1.88 xG

12 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

CF Estrela Amadora FC Porto

Shots: 11; 11
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.17

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CF Estrela Amadora

1.51 xG created 1.32 xGA

D 1.22 created, 1.91 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Rio Ave
W 4.40 created, 0.65 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.50 created, 0.99 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.37 created, 0.62 conceded against Sporting
L 1.25 created, 1.01 conceded against FC Arouca

FC Porto

1.92 xG created 0.76 xGA

D 2.14 created, 1.30 conceded against Benfica
W 2.13 created, 0.14 conceded against Moreirense
W 1.19 created, 0.99 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 0.43 created, 1.62 conceded against Famalicão
W 2.69 created, 0.39 conceded against Estoril Praia
W 2.95 created, 0.11 conceded against Tondela

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CF Estrela Amadora: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Porto 3:1 CF Estrela Amadora 15/12/2025 xG 2.89 – 0.18

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.