FC Alverca 1:1 Estoril Praia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 10/05/2026 at 21:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Alverca Home 1.27 xG

Estoril Praia Away 0.90 xG

11 FC Alverca had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

FC Alverca Estoril Praia

Shots: 8; 11
On target: 1; 3
Inside the box: 5; 5
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Alverca

1.07 xG created 1.03 xGA

L 0.83 created, 1.33 conceded against Sporting
W 1.45 created, 1.64 conceded against Rio Ave
W 1.83 created, 0.65 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.47 created, 1.03 conceded against CD Nacional
W 1.06 created, 0.88 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.79 created, 0.62 conceded against FC Porto

Estoril Praia

0.76 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 1.15 created, 1.65 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.12 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.39 created, 2.69 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.35 created, 0.86 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.66 created, 1.05 conceded against Famalicão
D 0.89 created, 0.41 conceded against Sporting Braga

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Alverca: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Estoril Praia 4:1 FC Alverca 27/12/2025 xG 1.30 – 0.75

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.