FC Arouca 3:1 Tondela: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Arouca Home 1.60 xG

Tondela Away 0.57 xG

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Arouca Tondela

Shots: 16; 11
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 11; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Arouca

1.19 xG created 1.17 xGA

W 1.98 created, 1.12 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 1.11 created, 0.89 conceded against Sporting Braga
W 1.01 created, 1.25 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
L 0.88 created, 1.06 conceded against FC Alverca
D 0.78 created, 1.86 conceded against Santa Clara
W 1.39 created, 0.81 conceded against Gil Vicente

Tondela

1.19 xG created 1.38 xGA

D 1.75 created, 1.67 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.11 created, 2.95 conceded against FC Porto
L 1.38 created, 1.26 conceded against CD Nacional
D 1.35 created, 1.67 conceded against Sporting
W 1.18 created, 0.45 conceded against Casa Pia
W 1.39 created, 0.29 conceded against Moreirense

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Arouca: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Tondela 3:1 FC Arouca 03/01/2026 xG 0.67 – 0.73

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.