Moreirense 1:1 CD Nacional: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Moreirense Home 0.94 xG

CD Nacional Away 1.35 xG

11 CD Nacional had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Moreirense CD Nacional

Shots: 7; 20
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 7; 13
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Moreirense

0.56 xG created 1.33 xGA

W 0.15 created, 0.21 conceded against Santa Clara
L 0.77 created, 1.51 conceded against Vitória SC
L 0.12 created, 2.46 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 0.45 created, 1.25 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.37 created, 1.38 conceded against Sporting
D 1.51 created, 1.17 conceded against Casa Pia

CD Nacional

1.07 xG created 1.28 xGA

W 1.53 created, 0.47 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.32 created, 1.74 conceded against Sporting
D 0.98 created, 0.64 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.65 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.99 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.96 created, 2.48 conceded against Sporting Braga

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Moreirense: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

CD Nacional 3:2 Moreirense 04/10/2025 xG 2.73 – 2.09

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.