Moreirense 3:2 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Moreirense Home 1.68 xG

CF Estrela Amadora Away 2.75 xG

32 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Moreirense CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 14; 10
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.28

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Moreirense

0.56 xG created 1.57 xGA

L 0.14 created, 2.13 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.59 created, 1.69 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.38 created, 1.31 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 0.51 created, 1.91 conceded against Famalicão
W 0.86 created, 0.35 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.87 created, 2.02 conceded against Benfica

CF Estrela Amadora

1.59 xG created 1.32 xGA

L 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Rio Ave
W 4.40 created, 0.65 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.50 created, 0.99 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.37 created, 0.62 conceded against Sporting
L 1.25 created, 1.01 conceded against FC Arouca
L 1.68 created, 1.88 conceded against FC Porto

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Moreirense: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

CF Estrela Amadora 0:0 Moreirense 20/12/2025 xG 0.89 – 0.77

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.