Tondela 1:1 FC Alverca: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Friday, 13/02/2026 at 21:45

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Tondela Home 1.55 xG

FC Alverca Away 0.72 xG

11 Tondela had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Tondela FC Alverca

Shots: 18; 10
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 15; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Tondela

0.76 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 0.67 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.50 created, 0.42 conceded against Moreirense
L 1.50 created, 1.57 conceded against Sporting Braga
L 0.11 created, 0.66 conceded against Famalicão
D 0.42 created, 1.89 conceded against Benfica
D 1.35 created, 0.71 conceded against Estoril Praia

FC Alverca

1.26 xG created 1.64 xGA

L 0.75 created, 1.30 conceded against Estoril Praia
W 2.00 created, 1.13 conceded against Famalicão
W 2.41 created, 1.41 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.38 created, 3.27 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 0.89 created, 0.88 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
L 1.14 created, 1.82 conceded against Benfica

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Tondela: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Alverca 1:0 Tondela 12/09/2025 xG 1.66 – 2.36

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.