Olympique de Marseille 2:2 RC Strasbourg: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 17:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille Home 1.43 xG · 10 shots

RC Strasbourg Away 1.97 xG · 12 shots

22 RC Strasbourg had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

14' Mason Greenwood Olympique de Marseille · 0.31 xG chance 1–0
47' Amine Gouiri Olympique de Marseille · 0.05 xG chance 2–0
73' Sebastian Nanasi RC Strasbourg · 0.07 xG chance 2–1
90' Joaquin Panichelli (pen.) RC Strasbourg · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Olympique de Marseille RC Strasbourg

Shots: 10; 12
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 8; 10
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.33; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.52
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Olympique de Marseille and 1.18 for RC Strasbourg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 3.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Olympique de Marseille
RC Strasbourg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Olympique de Marseille

1.63 xG created 2.27 xGA

W 1.79 created, 2.21 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.75 created, 3.63 conceded against Nantes
W 3.28 created, 0.94 conceded against Angers
W 0.88 created, 0.91 conceded against RC Lens
D 2.41 created, 1.76 conceded against Paris FC
L 0.66 created, 4.14 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

RC Strasbourg

1.48 xG created 1.37 xGA

D 0.69 created, 0.53 conceded against Lorient
D 1.35 created, 2.75 conceded against Nice
W 1.12 created, 1.08 conceded against Metz
W 3.00 created, 1.86 conceded against Lille
L 2.27 created, 1.13 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.44 created, 0.85 conceded against Le Havre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Olympique de Marseille: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

RC Strasbourg 1:2 Olympique de Marseille 26/09/2025 xG 1.36 – 2.02

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.