xgEdge

Every Ligue 1 match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 21/11/2026

1 match
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.39
    →

Sunday, 22/11/2026

3 matches
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.51 – 0.93
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.21
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.40
    →

Friday, 27/11/2026

1 match
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.10
    →

Saturday, 28/11/2026

5 matches
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.74
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.24
    Tight
    →
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.37
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.18
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.88 – 0.78
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 29/11/2026

3 matches
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.40
    Tight
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.47
    →
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.05
    →

Saturday, 05/12/2026

9 matches
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.52
    →
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 0.97
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.17
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 0.87
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.81 – 1.24
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.44
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.92
    →
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.08
    →
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.06
    →

Saturday, 12/12/2026

8 matches
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.76
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.86 – 0.92
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.24
    →
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.86 – 1.18
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.26
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.29
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.02
    Tight
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.38
    →

Sunday, 13/12/2026

1 match
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.27
    →

Saturday, 02/01/2027

8 matches
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.34
    Tight
    →
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.31
    →
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.67
    Tight
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.14
    →
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 0.98
    →
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.03
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.19 – 0.90
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 0.97
    →

Sunday, 03/01/2027

1 match
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.78
    →

Saturday, 16/01/2027

9 matches
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.33
    →
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.31 – 0.91
    →
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.20
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.80
    →
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.29
    Tight
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.26
    →
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.31
    →
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.17
    →
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.99 – 1.95
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 23/01/2027

1 match
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.42
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.