Ligue 1

Ligue 1 results 2026/2027

Every Ligue 1 match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 13 of 26 matches (50%). The probabilities implied about 11 (44%). Brier score 0.66 (reference 0.64; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

3 matches

20:45

Olympique de Marseille 1

Paris Saint-Germain 2

xG 1.80 – 4.33 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:15

Nice 2

Lille 1

xG 1.50 – 1.58 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
15:00

Auxerre 2

Stade Brestois 1

xG 0.96 – 0.34 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Saturday, 19/09/2026

5 matches

20:45

Toulouse 3

Le Havre 2

xG 1.95 – 2.34 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
20:45

Olympique Lyonnais 4

Stade Rennais 0

xG 3.13 – 1.37 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
20:45

Le Mans 2

Lorient 1

xG 0.92 – 0.97 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
20:45

Angers 2

Troyes 0

xG 2.26 – 1.16 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:15

Paris FC 2

RC Strasbourg 1

xG 1.05 – 0.24 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Friday, 18/09/2026

1 match

20:45

AS Monaco 2

RC Lens 1

xG 1.75 – 1.19 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 13/09/2026

3 matches

20:45

Stade Brestois 0

Paris Saint-Germain 1

xG 1.24 – 1.16 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:15

Le Mans 2

RC Lens 2

xG 2.59 – 1.62 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→
15:00

Lille 2

Troyes 0

xG 1.65 – 0.38 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 12/09/2026

5 matches

20:45

Paris FC 0

Olympique Lyonnais 0

xG 0.30 – 0.50 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→
20:45

Lorient 2

Toulouse 2

xG 0.93 – 1.63 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
20:45

Le Havre 0

Angers 0

xG 1.31 – 0.59 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→
20:45

Auxerre 1

Nice 0

xG 1.74 – 1.08 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:15

RC Strasbourg 1

AS Monaco 1

xG 1.02 – 1.05 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Friday, 11/09/2026

1 match

20:45

Stade Rennais 1

Olympique de Marseille 0

xG 1.88 – 1.34 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

3 matches

20:45

Olympique de Marseille 2

Paris FC 3

xG 1.42 – 3.29 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
17:15

Angers 1

Stade Rennais 2

xG 1.66 – 1.54 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
15:00

Troyes 2

RC Strasbourg 6

xG 2.94 – 2.95 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

3 matches

20:45

Nice 1

Le Mans 1

xG 1.12 – 1.28 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→
20:45

Le Havre 1

Stade Brestois 2

xG 2.02 – 2.37 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:15

RC Lens 0

Lorient 1

xG 1.24 – 1.60 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Friday, 04/09/2026

2 matches

21:05

Paris Saint-Germain 1

AS Monaco 2

xG 2.32 – 0.51 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
19:00

Olympique Lyonnais 3

Auxerre 1

xG 2.85 – 0.71 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Thursday, 03/09/2026

1 match

20:45

Toulouse 0

Lille 1

xG 3.46 – 1.21 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 30/08/2026

3 matches

20:45

AS Monaco 2

Olympique de Marseille 0

xG 1.72 – 1.40 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
17:15

Stade Rennais 3

Le Mans 2

xG 3.12 – 3.06 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
15:00

Paris FC 3

Nice 0

xG 2.89 – 0.65 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 29/08/2026

5 matches

20:45

Olympique Lyonnais 1

Le Havre 1

xG 1.75 – 0.69 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Lorient 1

Troyes 2

xG 1.15 – 2.12 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Stade Brestois 2

Toulouse 2

xG 3.04 – 1.14 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Auxerre 1

Angers 3

xG 1.81 – 1.55 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
17:15

RC Strasbourg 2

RC Lens 1

xG 1.83 – 2.91 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 28/08/2026

1 match

21:00

Lille 2

Paris Saint-Germain 2

xG 1.27 – 1.44 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 23/08/2026

4 matches

20:45

Paris Saint-Germain

Stade Rennais
Void
→
20:45

Stade Rennais 2

Paris Saint-Germain 2

xG 0.87 – 2.16 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
17:15

Le Havre 0

AS Monaco 1

xG 0.60 – 1.39 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
15:00

Angers 0

Lille 2

xG 1.99 – 1.24 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 22/08/2026

5 matches

20:45

Troyes 0

Paris FC 0

xG 0.42 – 1.80 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Toulouse 0

Olympique Lyonnais 2

xG 2.77 – 0.70 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Nice 0

Lorient 0

xG 1.05 – 1.28 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Le Mans 2

Stade Brestois 2

xG 0.67 – 2.72 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
17:15

RC Lens 5

Auxerre 2

xG 4.41 – 1.84 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 21/08/2026

1 match

20:45

Olympique de Marseille 4

RC Strasbourg 0

xG 1.86 – 0.18 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.