xgEdge

Every Ligue 1 match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 17/04/2027

6 matches
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.35
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.08 – 1.07
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.40
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.44
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.81 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.26
    →

Saturday, 24/04/2027

9 matches
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.40
    Tight
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.17
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.25 – 0.98
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.59
    →
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.67
    Tight
    →
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.17
    →
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.17
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.26
    →
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.48
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 01/05/2027

9 matches
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.25
    →
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.21 – 0.90
    →
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.57
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.04 – 1.20
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.31 – 0.84
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.21
    Tight
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.26
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.21
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.87 – 1.49
    →

Saturday, 08/05/2027

8 matches
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.01
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.01
    →
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.54 – 0.96
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.34
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.32
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.14
    →
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.49
    →
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.52
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 09/05/2027

1 match
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.63
    →

Sunday, 16/05/2027

9 matches
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.07
    →
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.11
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.33 – 0.85
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.07
    →
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.10
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.85
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 0.91
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.38
    Tight
    →
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.35
    →

Saturday, 22/05/2027

8 matches
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.26
    →
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.40
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.08 – 1.10
    Tight
    →
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.16 – 2.18
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.22
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.09
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.20
    Tight
    →
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.21
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.