Ligue 1 odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Ligue 1 qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique de Marseille – Paris Saint-Germain Olympique de Marseille to score | Model prob. 72.8% | Price 1.44 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.44u |
| Olympique de Marseille – Paris Saint-Germain Olympique de Marseille 2+ goals | Model prob. 34.3% | Price 3.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Nice – Lille Nice to win | Model prob. 30.8% | Price 3.70 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.70u |
| Nice – Lille Lille not to score | Model prob. 29.1% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Nice – Lille Lille at most 1 goal | Model prob. 67.9% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| Olympique Lyonnais – Stade Rennais Olympique Lyonnais at most 1 goal | Model prob. 53.2% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Stade Brestois – Paris Saint-Germain Stade Brestois to score | Model prob. 70.5% | Price 1.67 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Paris FC – Olympique Lyonnais Paris FC to win | Model prob. 42.6% | Price 2.55 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Paris FC – Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais not to score | Model prob. 29.2% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +3.33u |
| Paris FC – Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais at most 1 goal | Model prob. 68.1% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| Auxerre – Nice Auxerre to win | Model prob. 38.6% | Price 2.80 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.80u |
| Le Havre – Angers Le Havre to win | Model prob. 40.5% | Price 2.60 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Auxerre – Nice Nice not to score | Model prob. 30.9% | Price 3.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.50u |
| Auxerre – Nice Nice at most 1 goal | Model prob. 70.4% | Price 1.57 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.57u |
| RC Strasbourg – AS Monaco RC Strasbourg to win | Model prob. 37.8% | Price 3.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| RC Strasbourg – AS Monaco AS Monaco not to score | Model prob. 24.7% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| RC Strasbourg – AS Monaco AS Monaco at most 1 goal | Model prob. 62.1% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille to win | Model prob. 34.8% | Price 3.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille Stade Rennais not to score | Model prob. 18.0% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille Stade Rennais at most 1 goal | Model prob. 51.4% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille 2+ goals | Model prob. 46.7% | Price 2.38 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Angers – Stade Rennais Angers to win | Model prob. 32.1% | Price 4.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco AS Monaco to win | Model prob. 15.6% | Price 7.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +6.00u |
| Toulouse – Lille Toulouse to win | Model prob. 31.6% | Price 3.80 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Toulouse – Lille Lille not to score | Model prob. 27.5% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Toulouse – Lille Lille at most 1 goal | Model prob. 66.1% | Price 1.80 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.80u |
| Auxerre – Angers Auxerre not to score | Model prob. 26.1% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Auxerre – Angers Auxerre at most 1 goal | Model prob. 64.2% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| Olympique Lyonnais – Le Havre Olympique Lyonnais not to score | Model prob. 20.8% | Price 6.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Olympique Lyonnais – Le Havre Le Havre to score | Model prob. 65.6% | Price 1.67 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.67u |
| Olympique Lyonnais – Le Havre Olympique Lyonnais at most 1 goal | Model prob. 56.2% | Price 2.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.25u |
| Olympique Lyonnais – Le Havre Le Havre 2+ goals | Model prob. 26.0% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lille – Paris Saint-Germain Lille to win | Model prob. 26.9% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lille – Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain at most 1 goal | Model prob. 64.2% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →