Paris FC 2:2 Olympique de Marseille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris FC Home 1.76 xG · 9 shots

Olympique de Marseille Away 2.41 xG · 18 shots

22 Olympique de Marseille had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

18' Mason Greenwood (pen.) Olympique de Marseille · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
53' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Olympique de Marseille · 0.64 xG chance 0–2
82' Jonathan Ikoné Paris FC · 0.27 xG chance 1–2
90' Ilan Kebbal (pen.) Paris FC · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Paris FC Olympique de Marseille

Shots: 9; 18
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 8; 15
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.24; 1.19
Set-piece xG: 0.75; 0.42
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.98 for Paris FC and 1.62 for Olympique de Marseille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 4.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris FC
Olympique de Marseille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris FC

1.03 xG created 1.35 xGA

D 1.80 created, 1.11 conceded against Auxerre
D 1.23 created, 1.71 conceded against Le Havre
L 0.46 created, 2.54 conceded against Toulouse
L 1.01 created, 1.71 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 0.97 created, 0.36 conceded against Nantes
D 0.70 created, 0.66 conceded against Angers

Olympique de Marseille

1.51 xG created 1.46 xGA

D 1.80 created, 0.70 conceded against Toulouse
L 0.53 created, 0.35 conceded against Lille
W 1.79 created, 2.21 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.75 created, 3.63 conceded against Nantes
W 3.28 created, 0.94 conceded against Angers
W 0.88 created, 0.91 conceded against RC Lens

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Paris FC: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Olympique de Marseille 5:2 Paris FC 23/08/2025 xG 2.83 – 1.09

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.