Nantes 1:2 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nantes Home 0.36 xG · 5 shots

Paris FC Away 0.97 xG · 10 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

6' Ilan Kebbal Paris FC · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
50' Matthis Abline Nantes · 0.18 xG chance 1–1
78' Luca Koleosho Paris FC · 0.66 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Nantes Paris FC

Shots: 5; 10
On target: 1; 3
Inside the box: 2; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.29; 0.82
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.36 for Nantes and 0.97 for Paris FC.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

15 shots · 1.33 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nantes
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nantes

1.18 xG created 1.51 xGA

D 0.21 created, 0.94 conceded against Le Havre
D 0.84 created, 0.32 conceded against Lorient
L 0.86 created, 2.35 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 1.19 created, 2.30 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.35 created, 2.39 conceded against Angers
W 3.63 created, 0.75 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

Paris FC

1.33 xG created 1.97 xGA

L 1.98 created, 0.75 conceded against Stade Rennais
L 1.52 created, 4.03 conceded against Lille
D 1.80 created, 1.11 conceded against Auxerre
D 1.23 created, 1.71 conceded against Le Havre
L 0.46 created, 2.54 conceded against Toulouse
L 1.01 created, 1.71 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nantes: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Paris FC 1:2 Nantes 24/10/2025 xG 1.19 – 0.90

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.