Stade Rennais 1:0 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Rennais Home 0.92 xG · 10 shots

Toulouse Away 0.49 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Arnaud Nordin Stade Rennais · 0.11 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Stade Rennais Toulouse

Shots: 10; 9
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 4; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.88; 0.37
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.92 for Stade Rennais and 0.49 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 1.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Rennais
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Rennais

1.42 xG created 1.60 xGA

D 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.83 created, 1.30 conceded against Lorient
L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.38 created, 1.18 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.36 created, 3.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 0.98 created, 0.65 conceded against Auxerre

Toulouse

1.48 xG created 1.08 xGA

W 1.84 created, 1.99 conceded against Nice
W 0.37 created, 0.99 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.75 created, 0.56 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.45 created, 0.98 conceded against Angers
L 2.57 created, 1.16 conceded against Le Havre
D 2.89 created, 0.82 conceded against Paris FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Rennais: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Toulouse 2:2 Stade Rennais 29/10/2025 xG 1.55 – 1.58

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.