xgEdge

Expected goals

Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Niké Liga (Slovakia) · after 6 matches · updated 1 Oct

Dukla Banská Bystrica's attacking and defensive expected goals in Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Dukla Banská Bystrica xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.97 xG per match
#12/12
Attack (xG per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.57
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.40
#3 DAC 1904 2.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.88
#5 MFK Ružomberok 1.78
#6 AS Trenčín 1.72
#7 FC Košice 1.69
#8 KFC Komárno 1.66
#9 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.61
#10 MFK Skalica 1.28
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.11
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.97
League avg
1.72
Total
5.84 6 matches
Defence
2.09 xGA per match
#9/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.96
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.12
#3 KFC Komárno 1.32
#4 DAC 1904 1.38
#5 MŠK Žilina 1.44
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.84
#7 MFK Ružomberok 1.84
#8 MFK Skalica 1.98
#9 Dukla Banská Bystrica 2.09
#10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 2.16
#11 AS Trenčín 2.23
#12 FC Košice 2.48
League avg
1.72
Total
12.52 6 matches
xG difference
-1.11 xGD per match
#12/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava +1.61
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava +1.28
#3 DAC 1904 +0.73
#4 MŠK Žilina +0.45
#5 KFC Komárno +0.34
#6 MFK Ružomberok -0.06
#7 AS Trenčín -0.50
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová -0.54
#9 MFK Skalica -0.71
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce -0.73
#11 FC Košice -0.79
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica -1.11
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.68 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.79 xPts per match
#12/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.25
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.08
#3 DAC 1904 1.91
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.64
#5 KFC Komárno 1.59
#6 MFK Ružomberok 1.38
#7 FC Košice 1.16
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.11
#9 AS Trenčín 1.09
#10 MFK Skalica 0.98
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.97
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.79
League avg
1.41
Total
4.73 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 6 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Dukla Banská Bystrica's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Niké Liga (Slovakia). They rank #12 for xG difference at -1.11 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 4 goals are 1.84 below 5.84 xG, while 6 points are 1.27 above 4.73 xPts — both over the 6 matches with xG. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 5.84 -1.84 scored 1.84 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 12.52 +0.48 conceded 0.48 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
6 4.73 +1.27 1.27 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Dukla Banská Bystrica are 1.84 goals below their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
4
xG
5.84
Gap
-1.84
Sun 26/07 Sat 08/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.08 -1.64 -1.38 -1.78 -0.32 -1.84 -1.08 -0.56 +0.26 -0.40 +1.46 -1.52 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Dukla Banská Bystrica: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0 1.08 -1.08 -1.08
Sat 08/08 FC Spartak Trnava 0 0.56 -0.56 -1.64
Sat 22/08 MFK Ružomberok 1 0.74 +0.26 -1.38
Sun 06/09 FC Košice 0 0.40 -0.40 -1.78
Sat 12/09 MFK Skalica 3 1.54 +1.46 -0.32
Sat 19/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0 1.52 -1.52 -1.84

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Dukla Banská Bystrica xG trend

Current form -1.11 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 6 matches. The worst was against FC Spartak Trnava on Sat 08/08 (-3.26).

npxG · last 6
0.97
npxGA · last 6
2.09
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.58 Sun 26/07 -3.26 Sat 08/08 -1.21 Sat 22/08 -2.01 Sun 06/09 +0.77 Sat 12/09 -0.39 Sat 19/09 -1.11 season avg
Dukla Banská Bystrica: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.08 1.66 -0.58 -0.58
Sat 08/08 FC Spartak Trnava 0.56 3.82 -3.26 -1.92
Sat 22/08 MFK Ružomberok 0.74 1.95 -1.21 -1.68
Sun 06/09 FC Košice 0.40 2.41 -2.01 -1.77
Sat 12/09 MFK Skalica 1.54 0.77 +0.77 -1.26
Sat 19/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.52 1.91 -0.39 -1.11

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.97 npxG and 2.09 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
−0.22 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 12

  1. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Away −0.30
  2. MFK Skalica Home −0.44
  3. FC Košice Away −0.14
  4. KFC Komárno Home −0.01
  5. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.22
  6. MŠK Žilina Home +0.16
  7. FC Spartak Trnava Away +0.53
  8. DAC 1904 Away +0.51
  9. ŠK Slovan Bratislava Home +0.55

Last 5

−0.22 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Away −0.30
  2. MFK Skalica Home −0.44
  3. FC Košice Away −0.14
  4. KFC Komárno Home −0.01
  5. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Dukla Banská Bystrica shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Dukla Banská Bystrica take 11.2 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia) for volume and #12 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.2 shots per match
#12/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 DAC 1904 17.6
=1 MŠK Žilina 17.6
#3 FC Spartak Trnava 17.5
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 16.9
#5 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 15.0
#6 MFK Ružomberok 14.2
#7 AS Trenčín 13.4
#8 MFK Skalica 12.2
#9 FC Košice 12.0
#10 KFC Komárno 11.9
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 11.3
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 11.2
League avg
14.1
Total
67 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.15
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.14
#3 FC Košice 0.14
#4 KFC Komárno 0.14
#5 AS Trenčín 0.13
#6 MFK Ružomberok 0.13
#7 DAC 1904 0.12
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.11
#9 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#10 MFK Skalica 0.11
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.10
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
5.84 npxG from 67 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.5 shots per match
#7/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 9.5
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 10.9
#3 DAC 1904 12.8
#4 MFK Ružomberok 13.2
#5 MŠK Žilina 13.6
#6 FC Košice 14.0
#7 Dukla Banská Bystrica 14.5
#8 KFC Komárno 14.7
#9 MFK Skalica 15.5
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 16.3
#11 AS Trenčín 16.6
#12 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 16.8
League avg
14.1
Total
87 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#11/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KFC Komárno 0.09
#2 FC Spartak Trnava 0.10
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#5 DAC 1904 0.11
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.11
#7 MFK Skalica 0.13
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.13
#9 AS Trenčín 0.13
#10 MFK Ružomberok 0.14
#11 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.14
#12 FC Košice 0.18
League avg
0.12
Total
12.52 npxGA from 87 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

60% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 40 of 67 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 59 of 87 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Dukla Banská Bystrica home and away xG

Dukla Banská Bystrica per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away
Matches 4 2 with xG 5 4 with xG
xG / match 1.31 0.81
xGA / match 1.22 2.52
xGD / match +0.09 -1.72
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.45 0.46

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Dukla Banská Bystrica match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9 6 with xG
xG / match
0.97
xGA / match
2.09
xGD / match
-1.11
Points
7 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce A xG 1.52 xGA 1.91 xGD -0.39
  2. Sat 12/09 MFK Skalica H Best underlying xG 1.54 xGA 0.77 xGD +0.77
  3. Sun 06/09 FC Košice A xG 0.40 xGA 2.41 xGD -2.01
  4. Sat 29/08 KFC Komárno H
  5. Sat 22/08 MFK Ružomberok A Against the chances xG 0.74 xGA 1.95 xGD -1.21
  6. Sat 15/08 MŠK Žilina H
  7. Sat 08/08 FC Spartak Trnava A Weakest underlying xG 0.56 xGA 3.82 xGD -3.26
  8. Sun 02/08 DAC 1904 A
  9. Sun 26/07 ŠK Slovan Bratislava H xG 1.08 xGA 1.66 xGD -0.58

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.82. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Dukla Banská Bystrica in Niké Liga (Slovakia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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