Sunday, 08/11/2026 at 18:00
33d 21h to kick-offKFC Komárno – MFK Zemplín Michalovce
Model updated 5 October, 21:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- KFC Komárno
- 52%
- Draw
- 27%
- MFK Zemplín Michalovce
- 22%
| KFC Komárno | Draw | MFK Zemplín Michalovce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.93 | 3.76 | 4.63 |
- Total goals
- 3.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Both teams to score
- 64%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans KFC Komárno
52% KFC Komárno to win
- Attack
- 8th vs 8th
- KFC Komárno attack v MFK Zemplín Michalovce defence
- Defence
- 5th vs 10th
- KFC Komárno defence v MFK Zemplín Michalovce attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.07 vs -0.73
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.83 – 1.18
- KFC Komárno v MFK Zemplín Michalovce
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | KFC Komárno | MFK Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.66 · 8th | 1.11 · 11th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.32 · 3rd | 1.84 · 6th |
| xGD / match | (better) +0.34 · 5th | -0.73 · 10th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.59 · 5th | 0.97 · 11th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.07 | -0.73 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 32% of the model's distribution.
- KFC Komárno clean sheet
- 28%
- KFC Komárno 2+ goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- Both teams to score: no
- 36%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 12.9%
- 2:1
- 11.3%
- 2:0
- 8.2%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- KFC Komárno sample
- 20 matches
- MFK Zemplín Michalovce sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · KFC Komárno
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · MFK Zemplín Michalovce
- 2 matches
- Computed
- Monday, 05/10/2026 at 21:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.