xgEdge

Expected goals

MFK Ružomberok expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Niké Liga (Slovakia) · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

MFK Ružomberok's attacking and defensive expected goals in Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

MFK Ružomberok xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.78 xG per match
#5/12
Attack (xG per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.57
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.40
#3 DAC 1904 2.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.88
#5 MFK Ružomberok 1.78
#6 AS Trenčín 1.72
#7 FC Košice 1.69
#8 KFC Komárno 1.66
#9 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.61
#10 MFK Skalica 1.28
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.11
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.97
League avg
1.72
Total
8.89 5 matches
Defence
1.84 xGA per match
#7/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.96
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.12
#3 KFC Komárno 1.32
#4 DAC 1904 1.38
#5 MŠK Žilina 1.44
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.84
#7 MFK Ružomberok 1.84
#8 MFK Skalica 1.98
#9 Dukla Banská Bystrica 2.09
#10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 2.16
#11 AS Trenčín 2.23
#12 FC Košice 2.48
League avg
1.72
Total
9.20 5 matches
xG difference
-0.06 xGD per match
#6/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava +1.61
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava +1.28
#3 DAC 1904 +0.73
#4 MŠK Žilina +0.45
#5 KFC Komárno +0.34
#6 MFK Ružomberok -0.06
#7 AS Trenčín -0.50
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová -0.54
#9 MFK Skalica -0.71
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce -0.73
#11 FC Košice -0.79
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica -1.11
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.31 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.38 xPts per match
#6/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.25
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.08
#3 DAC 1904 1.91
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.64
#5 KFC Komárno 1.59
#6 MFK Ružomberok 1.38
#7 FC Košice 1.16
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.11
#9 AS Trenčín 1.09
#10 MFK Skalica 0.98
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.97
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.79
League avg
1.41
Total
6.92 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 5 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

MFK Ružomberok's underlying numbers sit close to the Niké Liga (Slovakia) average. They rank #6 for xG difference at -0.06 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 3 goals are 5.89 below 8.89 xG, while 1 point is 5.92 below 6.92 xPts — both over the 5 matches with xG. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
3 8.89 -5.89 scored 5.89 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
11 9.20 +1.80 conceded 1.80 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1 6.92 -5.92 5.92 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

MFK Ružomberok are 5.89 goals below their xG after 5 matches.

Goals
3
xG
8.89
Gap
-5.89
Sun 26/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.41 -1.96 -3.07 -5.02 -5.89 -1.41 -0.55 -1.11 -1.95 -0.87 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
MFK Ružomberok: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 DAC 1904 1 2.41 -1.41 -1.41
Sat 01/08 MFK Skalica 1 1.55 -0.55 -1.96
Sat 15/08 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0 1.11 -1.11 -3.07
Sat 22/08 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0 1.95 -1.95 -5.02
Sat 29/08 AS Trenčín 1 1.87 -0.87 -5.89

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

MFK Ružomberok xG trend

Current form -0.06 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches. The worst was against ŠK Slovan Bratislava on Sat 15/08 (-1.41).

npxG · last 5
1.78
npxGA · last 5
1.84
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.20 Sun 26/07 -0.40 Sat 01/08 -1.41 Sat 15/08 +1.21 Sat 22/08 -0.91 Sat 29/08 -0.06 season avg
MFK Ružomberok: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 DAC 1904 2.41 1.21 +1.20 +1.20
Sat 01/08 MFK Skalica 1.55 1.95 -0.40 +0.40
Sat 15/08 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.11 2.52 -1.41 -0.20
Sat 22/08 Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.95 0.74 +1.21 +0.15
Sat 29/08 AS Trenčín 1.87 2.78 -0.91 -0.06

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.78 npxG and 1.84 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 5 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 5 hardest of 12

  1. FC Košice Away −0.14
  2. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Home −0.30
  3. FC Spartak Trnava Home +0.53
  4. AS Trenčín Away −0.26
  5. Dukla Banská Bystrica Home −0.38
  6. ŠK Slovan Bratislava Away +0.55
  7. FK Železiarne Podbrezová Home 0.00
  8. MFK Skalica Away −0.44
  9. DAC 1904 Home +0.51

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. FC Košice Away −0.14
  2. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Home −0.30
  3. FC Spartak Trnava Home +0.53
  4. AS Trenčín Away −0.26
  5. Dukla Banská Bystrica Home −0.38

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

MFK Ružomberok shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. MFK Ružomberok take 14.2 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #6 in Niké Liga (Slovakia) for volume and #6 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.2 shots per match
#6/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 DAC 1904 17.6
=1 MŠK Žilina 17.6
#3 FC Spartak Trnava 17.5
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 16.9
#5 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 15.0
#6 MFK Ružomberok 14.2
#7 AS Trenčín 13.4
#8 MFK Skalica 12.2
#9 FC Košice 12.0
#10 KFC Komárno 11.9
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 11.3
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 11.2
League avg
14.1
Total
71 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#6/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.15
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.14
#3 FC Košice 0.14
#4 KFC Komárno 0.14
#5 AS Trenčín 0.13
#6 MFK Ružomberok 0.13
#7 DAC 1904 0.12
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.11
#9 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#10 MFK Skalica 0.11
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.10
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
8.89 npxG from 71 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.2 shots per match
#4/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 9.5
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 10.9
#3 DAC 1904 12.8
#4 MFK Ružomberok 13.2
#5 MŠK Žilina 13.6
#6 FC Košice 14.0
#7 Dukla Banská Bystrica 14.5
#8 KFC Komárno 14.7
#9 MFK Skalica 15.5
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 16.3
#11 AS Trenčín 16.6
#12 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 16.8
League avg
14.1
Total
66 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#10/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KFC Komárno 0.09
#2 FC Spartak Trnava 0.10
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#5 DAC 1904 0.11
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.11
#7 MFK Skalica 0.13
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.13
#9 AS Trenčín 0.13
#10 MFK Ružomberok 0.14
#11 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.14
#12 FC Košice 0.18
League avg
0.12
Total
9.20 npxGA from 66 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 43 of 71 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

73% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 48 of 66 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

MFK Ružomberok home and away xG

MFK Ružomberok per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away
Matches 5 2 with xG 4 3 with xG
xG / match 2.18 1.51
xGA / match 0.98 2.42
xGD / match +1.21 -0.91
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.25 0.80

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every MFK Ružomberok match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5 2 with xG
xG / match
1.91
xGA / match
1.76
xGD / match
+0.15
Points
4 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 FC Košice A
  2. Sat 12/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce H
  3. Sun 06/09 FC Spartak Trnava H
  4. Sat 29/08 AS Trenčín A xG 1.87 xGA 2.78 xGD -0.91
  5. Sat 22/08 Dukla Banská Bystrica H Against the chances xG 1.95 xGA 0.74 xGD +1.21

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

MFK Ružomberok in Niké Liga (Slovakia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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