xgEdge

Premier League table 2025/2026

  • Leader Arsenal 85 pts
  • Most above xPts Aston Villa +17.45 against expected points
  • Most below xPts Wolverhampton −18.17 against expected points

The same clubs ranked on expected points — what each club's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.

Showing non-penalty xG. Penalties are removed from xG, xGA and xGD; xPts is unchanged.

Premier League 2025/2026 table ranked on expected points
# restore the table order Move sort descending Team P sort descending W sort descending D sort descending L sort descending GF sort descending GA sort descending GD sort descending Pts sort descending npxG sort descending npxGA sort descending npxGD sort descending xPts sort descending Pts vs xPts sort descending
1 Same place as in the actual table ARS 38 26 7 5 71 27 +44 85 62.02 29.52 +32.50 77.41 +7.59
2 Same place as in the actual table MCI 38 23 9 6 77 35 +42 78 67.76 43.77 +23.99 70.77 +7.23
3 Same place as in the actual table MUN 38 20 11 7 69 50 +19 71 60.76 45.46 +15.30 61.59 +9.41
4 Up 1 place against the actual table LIV 38 17 9 12 63 53 +10 60 58.91 45.28 +13.63 60.93 −0.93
5 Up 5 places against the actual table CHE 38 14 10 14 58 52 +6 52 60.78 51.28 +9.50 59.75 −7.75
6 Same place as in the actual table BOU 38 13 18 7 58 54 +4 57 58.11 52.01 +6.10 57.94 −0.94
7 Up 1 place against the actual table BHA 38 14 11 13 52 46 +6 53 53.63 45.64 +7.99 57.46 −4.46
8 Up 1 place against the actual table BRE 38 14 11 13 55 52 +3 53 53.29 49.34 +3.95 56.47 −3.47
9 Up 3 places against the actual table NEW 38 14 7 17 53 55 −2 49 53.82 48.49 +5.33 55.97 −6.97
10 Up 5 places against the actual table CRY 38 11 12 15 41 51 −10 45 51.68 48.76 +2.92 55.48 −10.48
11 Up 3 places against the actual table LEE 38 11 14 13 49 56 −7 47 49.98 50.75 −0.77 53.97 −6.97
12 Down 1 place against the actual table FUL 38 15 7 16 47 51 −4 52 44.23 49.43 −5.20 48.92 +3.08
13 Down 9 places against the actual table AVL 38 19 8 11 56 49 +7 65 49.22 53.97 −4.75 47.55 +17.45
14 Up 3 places against the actual table TOT 38 10 11 17 48 57 −9 41 41.57 49.72 −8.15 46.34 −5.34
15 Up 1 place against the actual table NFO 38 11 11 16 48 51 −3 44 43.82 51.22 −7.40 45.63 −1.63
16 Down 3 places against the actual table EVE 38 13 10 15 47 50 −3 49 43.98 52.42 −8.44 44.80 +4.20
17 Up 1 place against the actual table WHU 38 10 9 19 46 65 −19 39 44.39 55.21 −10.82 43.31 −4.31
18 Down 11 places against the actual table SUN 38 14 12 12 42 48 −6 54 37.18 52.67 −15.49 41.31 +12.69
19 Up 1 place against the actual table WOL 38 3 11 24 27 68 −41 20 32.37 53.90 −21.53 38.17 −18.17
20 Down 1 place against the actual table BUR 38 4 10 24 38 75 −37 22 31.16 69.82 −38.66 24.66 −2.66
  • More points than xPts
  • Fewer points than xPts

Ranked by xPts. ▲ / ▼ beside the rank shows how far a club sits above or below its place in the actual table.

The provider published an implausible non-penalty figure for 1 of these matches — under 50% of the match total, which needs more penalties than a match usually has. Those matches fall back to total xG in the npxG columns.

How to read this table
xG
Expected goals: the summed chance quality of the shots a club took. A chance scored nine times in ten is worth 0.9.
xGA
Expected goals against: the same measure for the shots a club allowed.
xGD
xG minus xGA: how far a club's chances outweighed its opponents', or the other way round.
xPts
Expected points: the points a club's match-by-match xG would be worth on average. Each match's two xG figures become chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and a win is worth 3 and a draw 1.
Pts vs xPts
Actual points minus expected points based on match xG. Positive, drawn in green, is more points than the chances were worth on average; negative, in red, is fewer. It measures the gap and says nothing about its cause.
npxG
Non-penalty xG: xG with penalties removed, offered where the competition's figures support it. It changes xG, xGA and xGD; xPts is always worked out from all xG.

Expected points are read off the same score matrix that prices the board: each played match's two xG totals are taken as scoring rates, and the team's share is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw), summed over the season. Understat arrives at the same figure by simulating each shot, which needs per-shot data, held here for %{competitions}. Passes per defensive action and deep completions are not shown because no source here ingests the event data behind them.

Learn how xgEdge calculates these figures →