xgEdge

Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 15:05

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Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa 1:0 Wolverhampton

Aston Villa Home 0.94 xG · 16 shots
Wolverhampton Away 0.49 xG · 9 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 67' Boubacar Kamara Aston Villa · 0.06 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Wolverhampton
Shots
16
9
On target
6
4
Inside the box
9
7
xG per shot
0.06
0.04
Open play xG
0.65
0.24
Set-piece xG
0.28
0.16
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.94 for Aston Villa and 0.37 for Wolverhampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Aston Villa · Donyell Malen · 70' · No goal · 8 m · 0.29 xG Wolverhampton · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Aston Villa · Donyell Malen · 33' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Aston Villa · Donyell Malen · 70' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Aston Villa · Pau Torres · 3' · No goal · 1 m · 0.06 xG Aston Villa · Boubacar Kamara · 67' · Goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Aston Villa · Lucas Digne · 84' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Wolverhampton · Jhon Arias · 10' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Youri Tielemans · 21' · No goal · 4 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Donyell Malen · 51' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · 41' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Jhon Arias · 45' · No goal · 2 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Yerson Mosquera · 45' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 57' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · João Gomes · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Donyell Malen · 1' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 19' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Emmanuel Agbadou · 73' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · John McGinn · 74' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 23' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Youri Tielemans · 38' · No goal · 35 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Youri Tielemans · 20' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG Wolverhampton · Yerson Mosquera · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

25 shots · 1.33 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Aston Villa
  • Wolverhampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Aston Villa

1.00 xG created 1.15 xGA

  • W 1.16 created, 0.40 conceded against Burnley
  • W 0.32 created, 0.75 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • W 0.81 created, 1.18 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.41 created, 1.19 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.70 created, 1.61 conceded against Bournemouth
  • W 1.58 created, 1.79 conceded against Leeds United
Wolverhampton

0.98 xG created 1.50 xGA

  • D 0.56 created, 0.92 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 0.83 created, 0.65 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 2.28 created, 1.43 conceded against Burnley
  • L 0.24 created, 1.39 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.17 created, 3.31 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 1.79 created, 1.27 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.