Arsenal 1:0 Newcastle United: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Arsenal Home 0.49 xG · 11 shots

Newcastle United Away 1.00 xG · 13 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

9' Eberechi Eze Arsenal · 0.03 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Arsenal Newcastle United

Shots: 11; 13
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.49; 0.72
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.64 for Arsenal and 0.91 for Newcastle United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.54 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Arsenal

1.67 xG created 1.04 xGA

W 1.93 created, 0.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.13 created, 1.05 conceded against Chelsea
W 0.43 created, 0.80 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.59 created, 1.05 conceded against Everton
L 2.32 created, 1.19 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.62 created, 1.36 conceded against Manchester City

Newcastle United

1.43 xG created 2.14 xGA

L 0.97 created, 2.13 conceded against Everton
W 2.22 created, 1.28 conceded against Manchester United
W 1.42 created, 1.43 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.27 created, 2.45 conceded against Sunderland
L 1.13 created, 2.56 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.59 created, 2.99 conceded against Bournemouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Arsenal: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Newcastle United 1:2 Arsenal 28/09/2025 xG 0.61 – 2.04

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.