xgEdge

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United 2:3 Everton

Newcastle United Home 0.97 xG · 17 shots
Everton Away 2.13 xG · 9 shots
23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 19' Jarrad Branthwaite Everton · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
  2. 32' Jacob Ramsey Newcastle United · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
  3. 34' Beto Everton · 0.87 xG chance 1–2
  4. 82' Jacob Murphy Newcastle United · 0.05 xG chance 2–2
  5. 83' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.87 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Everton
Shots
17
9
On target
7
5
Inside the box
7
4
xG per shot
0.06
0.23
Open play xG
0.44
2.03
Set-piece xG
0.58
0.04
Penalties
—
—

Newcastle United's shots add up to 1.02 xG and Everton's to 2.07; the published figures are 0.97 and 2.13.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Everton · Beto · 34' · Goal · 3 m · 0.87 xG Everton · Thierno Barry · 83' · Goal · 3 m · 0.87 xG Newcastle United · Malick Thiaw · 61' · No goal · 5 m · 0.32 xG Everton · Beto · 65' · No goal · 13 m · 0.12 xG Newcastle United · Jacob Ramsey · 32' · Goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 47' · No goal · 17 m · 0.08 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Gordon · 60' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 69' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Newcastle United · Joelinton · 13' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Joelinton · 30' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Jacob Murphy · 63' · No goal · 24 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Jacob Murphy · 82' · Goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Everton · Jarrad Branthwaite · 19' · Goal · 5 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Yoane Wissa · 80' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 11' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Kieran Trippier · 54' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 78' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 9' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Elanga · 31' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 34' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Lewis Hall · 45' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 58' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 59' · No goal · 31 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Joe Willock · 70' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Gordon · 78' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

26 shots · 3.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Newcastle United
  • Everton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Newcastle United

1.44 xG created 1.41 xGA

  • D 0.88 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 2.30 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.33 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool
  • L 2.25 created, 1.93 conceded against Brentford
  • W 2.28 created, 1.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.58 created, 1.35 conceded against Manchester City
Everton

1.21 xG created 1.34 xGA

  • W 0.56 created, 1.36 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 0.60 created, 1.23 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 1.20 created, 1.29 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 1.68 created, 1.97 conceded against Fulham
  • L 2.91 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 0.29 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Newcastle United: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.