xgEdge

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Bournemouth 3:0 Crystal Palace

Bournemouth Home 2.08 xG · 17 shots
Crystal Palace Away 0.89 xG · 7 shots
30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 10' Jefferson Lerma (o.g.) Bournemouth · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
  2. 32' Eli Junior Kroupi (pen.) Bournemouth · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
  3. 77' Rayan Bournemouth · 0.32 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Bournemouth Crystal Palace
Shots
17
7
On target
6
1
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.14
0.11
Open play xG
1.20
0.71
Set-piece xG
0.41
0.08
Penalties
1
0

Bournemouth's shots add up to 2.43 xG and Crystal Palace's to 0.79; the published figures are 2.08 and 0.89.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 32' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 89' · No goal · 5 m · 0.39 xG Bournemouth · Evanilson · 14' · No goal · 13 m · 0.33 xG Bournemouth · Rayan · 77' · Goal · 9 m · 0.32 xG Bournemouth · Jefferson Lerma · 10' · Goal · 2 m · 0.14 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 27' · No goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 59' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Bournemouth · Rayan · 19' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 55' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Bournemouth · Evanilson · 10' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 13' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 46' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 83' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Bournemouth · Rayan · 47' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG Crystal Palace · Brennan Johnson · 64' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Bournemouth · Rayan · 43' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Bournemouth · Alex Scott · 39' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Bournemouth · Rayan · 9' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · David Brooks · 79' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Enes Ünal · 90' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 9' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Brennan Johnson · 84' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bournemouth · Álex Jiménez · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

24 shots · 3.22 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Bournemouth
  • Crystal Palace
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bournemouth

2.05 xG created 1.34 xGA

  • D 1.99 created, 0.40 conceded against Brentford
  • D 2.88 created, 1.14 conceded against Burnley
  • D 1.57 created, 1.77 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 1.19 created, 2.32 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 2.99 created, 1.59 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 1.65 created, 0.81 conceded against Leeds United
Crystal Palace

1.40 xG created 1.29 xGA

  • L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 1.78 created, 1.58 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • D 0.67 created, 1.12 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 2.56 created, 1.13 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 0.73 created, 0.61 conceded against West Ham United
  • L 2.26 created, 1.15 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bournemouth: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.