Burnley 1:3 Newcastle United: xG & match report · Premier League

Tuesday, 30/12/2025 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Burnley Home 1.09 xG · 15 shots

Newcastle United Away 2.31 xG · 20 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Joelinton Newcastle United · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
7' Yoane Wissa Newcastle United · 0.66 xG chance 0–2
23' Josh Laurent Burnley · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
90' Bruno Guimarães Newcastle United · 0.07 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Burnley Newcastle United

Shots: 15; 20
On target: 4; 9
Inside the box: 8; 13
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.90; 2.55
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.51
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Burnley and 3.07 for Newcastle United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.19 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Burnley
Newcastle United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

1.29 xG created 1.65 xGA

L 0.95 created, 3.06 conceded against Brentford
L 0.95 created, 0.59 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.61 created, 1.77 conceded against Newcastle United
L 2.46 created, 2.23 conceded against Fulham
D 0.38 created, 1.41 conceded against Bournemouth
D 1.41 created, 0.82 conceded against Everton

Newcastle United

1.58 xG created 1.01 xGA

W 1.92 created, 1.00 conceded against Everton
D 2.04 created, 0.75 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.77 created, 1.61 conceded against Burnley
L 0.24 created, 0.30 conceded against Sunderland
D 2.31 created, 1.22 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.18 created, 1.17 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Burnley: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Newcastle United 2:1 Burnley 06/12/2025 xG 1.77 – 1.61

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.