Burnley 0:1 Crystal Palace: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 03/12/2025 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Burnley Home 0.95 xG · 11 shots

Crystal Palace Away 0.59 xG · 3 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

44' Daniel Muñoz Crystal Palace · 0.40 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Burnley Crystal Palace

Shots: 11; 3
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 8; 3
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.23
Open play xG: 0.58; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.95 for Burnley and 0.67 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

14 shots · 1.65 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Burnley
Crystal Palace
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

0.79 xG created 2.52 xGA

W 0.45 created, 2.63 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.43 created, 2.28 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 0.42 created, 2.42 conceded against Arsenal
L 1.06 created, 3.02 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.44 created, 1.72 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.95 created, 3.06 conceded against Brentford

Crystal Palace

1.57 xG created 1.14 xGA

D 4.44 created, 2.03 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.45 created, 0.92 conceded against Arsenal
W 0.70 created, 0.54 conceded against Brentford
D 0.75 created, 0.39 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 1.27 created, 1.79 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 1.83 created, 1.19 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.