xgEdge

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Burnley 0:2 Arsenal

Burnley Home 0.42 xG · 3 shots
Arsenal Away 2.42 xG · 12 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 14' Viktor Gyökeres Arsenal · 0.83 xG chance 0–1
  2. 35' Declan Rice Arsenal · 0.25 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Burnley Arsenal
Shots
3
12
On target
0
8
Inside the box
2
9
xG per shot
0.12
0.20
Open play xG
0.02
1.40
Set-piece xG
0.34
1.01
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.35 for Burnley and 2.42 for Arsenal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Arsenal · Viktor Gyökeres · 14' · Goal · 2 m · 0.83 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 32' · No goal · 12 m · 0.32 xG Burnley · Florentino Luís · 73' · No goal · 4 m · 0.28 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 23' · No goal · 16 m · 0.27 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 32' · No goal · 12 m · 0.25 xG Arsenal · Declan Rice · 35' · Goal · 9 m · 0.25 xG Arsenal · Jurriën Timber · 19' · No goal · 5 m · 0.15 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 38' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 21' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.06 xG Arsenal · Christian Nørgaard · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Arsenal · Ethan Nwaneri · 82' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 56' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Jurriën Timber · 66' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 71' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

15 shots · 2.77 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Burnley
  • Arsenal
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Burnley

0.61 xG created 1.97 xGA

  • L 0.13 created, 2.65 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 0.85 created, 1.10 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.41 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.40 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 0.45 created, 2.63 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.43 created, 2.28 conceded against Wolverhampton
Arsenal

1.72 xG created 0.51 xGA

  • W 1.84 created, 0.20 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 0.89 created, 0.87 conceded against Manchester City
  • W 2.04 created, 0.61 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 2.77 created, 0.49 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 1.87 created, 0.44 conceded against Fulham
  • W 0.92 created, 0.45 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.