What Chelsea have left to play in Premier League 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
33 matches ahead in Premier League
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 33 matches ahead of Chelsea in Premier League rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 5 of them rate easier than balanced, and 4 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.42 projected xG a match from them and 45.2 of the 99 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Manchester United away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 82/99 and a defence rated 69/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Newcastle United home Sun 03/01 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.84 – 1.13 Chelsea win 53%
Manchester United away Sat 06/02 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.16 – 1.88 Chelsea win 21%
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Open the match page for Bournemouth
Sat 10/10 Home Bournemouth Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 1.46 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.46- Chelsea
- 39%
- Draw
- 30%
- Bournemouth
- 32%
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Open the match page for Everton
Sat 17/10 Away Everton Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.32 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.19- Everton
- 41%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 30%
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Open the match page for Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 24/10 Home Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.54 – 1.12 Projected xPts 1.66- Chelsea
- 45%
- Draw
- 30%
- Tottenham Hotspur
- 25%
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Open the match page for Manchester United
Sat 31/10 Home Manchester United Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.39 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.24- Chelsea
- 32%
- Draw
- 29%
- Manchester United
- 39%
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Open the match page for Sunderland
Sun 08/11 Away Sunderland Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.24 – 1.59 Projected xPts 1.11- Sunderland
- 44%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 27%
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Open the match page for Leeds United
Sat 21/11 Home Leeds United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.56 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.62- Chelsea
- 44%
- Draw
- 29%
- Leeds United
- 26%
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Open the match page for Nottingham Forest
Fri 27/11 Away Nottingham Forest Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 53/99Projected xG 1.26 – 1.50 Projected xPts 1.18- Nottingham Forest
- 41%
- Draw
- 30%
- Chelsea
- 29%
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Open the match page for Crystal Palace
Wed 02/12 Home Crystal Palace Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 43/99Projected xG 1.60 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.70- Chelsea
- 47%
- Draw
- 29%
- Crystal Palace
- 24%
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Open the match page for Liverpool
Sat 05/12 Home Liverpool Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 1.41 – 1.33 Projected xPts 1.41- Chelsea
- 37%
- Draw
- 30%
- Liverpool
- 33%
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Open the match page for Manchester City
Sat 12/12 Away Manchester City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.24 – 1.87 Projected xPts 0.94- Manchester City
- 51%
- Draw
- 26%
- Chelsea
- 22%
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Open the match page for Aston Villa
Sat 19/12 Home Aston Villa Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 1.68 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.74- Chelsea
- 48%
- Draw
- 28%
- Aston Villa
- 23%
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Open the match page for Coventry City
Sun 27/12 Away Coventry City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 40/99Projected xG 1.35 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.32- Coventry City
- 36%
- Draw
- 30%
- Chelsea
- 34%
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Open the match page for Ipswich Town
Wed 30/12 Away Ipswich Town Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.41 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.25- Ipswich Town
- 39%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 32%
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Open the match page for Newcastle United
Sun 03/01 Home Newcastle United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 18/99Projected xG 1.84 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.86- Chelsea
- 53%
- Draw
- 26%
- Newcastle United
- 20%
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Open the match page for Crystal Palace
Wed 06/01 Away Crystal Palace Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 43/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.32- Crystal Palace
- 36%
- Draw
- 30%
- Chelsea
- 34%
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Open the match page for Sunderland
Sat 16/01 Home Sunderland Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.50 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.49- Chelsea
- 40%
- Draw
- 29%
- Sunderland
- 31%
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Open the match page for Leeds United
Sat 23/01 Away Leeds United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.29 – 1.44 Projected xPts 1.24- Leeds United
- 39%
- Draw
- 30%
- Chelsea
- 31%
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Open the match page for Nottingham Forest
Sat 30/01 Home Nottingham Forest Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 53/99Projected xG 1.52 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.56- Chelsea
- 42%
- Draw
- 30%
- Nottingham Forest
- 28%
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Open the match page for Manchester United
Sat 06/02 Away Manchester United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.16 – 1.88 Projected xPts 0.88- Manchester United
- 53%
- Draw
- 26%
- Chelsea
- 21%
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Open the match page for Newcastle United
Wed 10/02 Away Newcastle United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 18/99Projected xG 1.52 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.47- Newcastle United
- 32%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 39%
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Open the match page for Ipswich Town
Sat 20/02 Home Ipswich Town Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.70 – 1.29 Projected xPts 1.65- Chelsea
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- Ipswich Town
- 26%
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Open the match page for Aston Villa
Sat 27/02 Away Aston Villa Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 1.39 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.35- Aston Villa
- 35%
- Draw
- 30%
- Chelsea
- 35%
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Open the match page for Coventry City
Wed 03/03 Home Coventry City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 40/99Projected xG 1.63 – 1.15 Projected xPts 1.70- Chelsea
- 47%
- Draw
- 29%
- Coventry City
- 24%
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Open the match page for Arsenal
Sat 13/03 Home Arsenal Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 91/99Projected xG 1.09 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.17- Chelsea
- 28%
- Draw
- 32%
- Arsenal
- 40%
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Open the match page for Hull City
Sat 20/03 Away Hull City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.28 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.26- Hull City
- 38%
- Draw
- 31%
- Chelsea
- 32%
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Open the match page for Fulham
Sat 10/04 Home Fulham Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 55/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.61 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.56- Chelsea
- 43%
- Draw
- 29%
- Fulham
- 29%
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Open the match page for Brighton & Hove Albion
Sat 17/04 Away Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 79/99, defence 47/99Projected xG 1.30 – 1.84 Projected xPts 1.00- Brighton & Hove Albion
- 49%
- Draw
- 27%
- Chelsea
- 24%
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Open the match page for Manchester City
Sat 24/04 Home Manchester City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.50 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.32- Chelsea
- 35%
- Draw
- 28%
- Manchester City
- 37%
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Open the match page for Liverpool
Sat 01/05 Away Liverpool Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 1.17 – 1.61 Projected xPts 1.04- Liverpool
- 46%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 25%
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Open the match page for Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 08/05 Away Tottenham Hotspur Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.27 – 1.35 Projected xPts 1.29- Tottenham Hotspur
- 36%
- Draw
- 31%
- Chelsea
- 33%
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Open the match page for Everton
Sat 15/05 Home Everton Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.59 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.58- Chelsea
- 43%
- Draw
- 29%
- Everton
- 28%
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Open the match page for Bournemouth
Sun 23/05 Away Bournemouth Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 1.21 – 1.59 Projected xPts 1.09- Bournemouth
- 44%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 26%
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Open the match page for Brentford
Sun 30/05 Home Brentford Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 59/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.61 – 1.35 Projected xPts 1.54- Chelsea
- 42%
- Draw
- 28%
- Brentford
- 30%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Premier League.
Fixture difficulty in Premier League
Reads each matchup for Chelsea: the band is cut from the model's chances of Chelsea winning and losing the match, so Chelsea's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 4 hardest of 20 in Premier League
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Premier League's average club, with no venue and nothing of Chelsea's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 4 hardest of 20
- Bournemouth Home +0.11
- Everton Away −0.05
- Tottenham Hotspur Home −0.18
- Manchester United Home +0.43
- Sunderland Away +0.07
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Premier League and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.