xgEdge

Every Premier League match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 10/04/2027

10 matches
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.24
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.31
    →
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.37
    →
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.64
    →
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.32
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.45
    Tight
    →
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.03
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.33
    →
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.23
    →
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.89 – 1.02
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 17/04/2027

10 matches
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.13
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.08
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.69
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.36
    →
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.34
    →
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.30
    →
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.23
    →
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.71 – 0.81
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.31
    Tight
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.29
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 24/04/2027

10 matches
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.36
    →
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.23
    →
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.13
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.28
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.51
    Tight
    →
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.01
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.33
    Tight
    →
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.55
    Tight
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.23
    →
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.55
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 01/05/2027

10 matches
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.87 – 1.08
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.30
    →
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.30
    Tight
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.32
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.18
    →
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.61
    →
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.24
    →
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.17
    →
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 0.78
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.93 – 1.29
    →

Saturday, 08/05/2027

10 matches
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.32
    →
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.31
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.27
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.35
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.10
    →
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.27
    Tight
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.45
    Tight
    →
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.19
    →
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.17
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.33
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.