Leeds United 1:2 Aston Villa: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 23/11/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 1.79 xG · 14 shots

Aston Villa Away 1.58 xG · 14 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

8' Lukas Nmecha Leeds United · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
48' Morgan Rogers Aston Villa · 0.13 xG chance 1–1
75' Morgan Rogers Aston Villa · 0.08 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Leeds United Aston Villa

Shots: 14; 14
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.60; 1.32
Set-piece xG: 1.40; 0.26
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.96 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.58 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Aston Villa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.47 xG created 1.35 xGA

D 1.84 created, 0.82 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.68 created, 0.53 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 2.63 created, 0.45 conceded against Burnley
W 1.49 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.50 created, 3.07 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.69 created, 2.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

0.92 xG created 1.01 xGA

W 1.11 created, 0.92 conceded against Fulham
W 1.16 created, 0.40 conceded against Burnley
W 0.32 created, 0.75 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 0.81 created, 1.18 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.41 created, 1.19 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.70 created, 1.61 conceded against Bournemouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.