Leeds United 3:3 Liverpool: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 1.51 xG · 12 shots

Liverpool Away 1.91 xG · 16 shots

33 Liverpool had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

48' Hugo Ekitiké Liverpool · 0.20 xG chance 0–1
50' Hugo Ekitiké Liverpool · 0.50 xG chance 0–2
73' Dominic Calvert-Lewin (pen.) Leeds United · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
75' Anton Stach Leeds United · 0.16 xG chance 2–2
80' Dominik Szoboszlai Liverpool · 0.51 xG chance 2–3
90' Ao Tanaka Leeds United · 0.16 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Leeds United Liverpool

Shots: 12; 16
On target: 5; 7
Inside the box: 9; 12
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.37; 1.92
Set-piece xG: 0.41; 0.20
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.79 for Leeds United and 2.09 for Liverpool.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Liverpool
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.47 xG created 2.01 xGA

W 1.49 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.50 created, 3.07 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.69 created, 2.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.79 created, 1.58 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.54 created, 3.10 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.82 created, 1.11 conceded against Chelsea

Liverpool

1.46 xG created 1.16 xGA

L 2.30 created, 2.75 conceded against Brentford
W 1.19 created, 0.41 conceded against Aston Villa
L 0.61 created, 1.51 conceded against Manchester City
L 1.93 created, 1.58 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 1.24 created, 0.29 conceded against West Ham United
D 1.46 created, 0.42 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.