xgEdge

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Fulham

Manchester United Home 1.74 xG · 13 shots
Fulham Away 1.97 xG · 14 shots
32 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 19' Casemiro Manchester United · 0.19 xG chance 1–0
  2. 56' Matheus Cunha Manchester United · 0.11 xG chance 2–0
  3. 85' Raúl Jiménez (pen.) Fulham · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
  4. 90' Benjamin Šeško Manchester United · 0.15 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
  5. 90' Kevin Fulham · 0.04 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Manchester United Fulham
Shots
13
14
On target
6
6
Inside the box
12
8
xG per shot
0.14
0.14
Open play xG
1.38
0.42
Set-piece xG
0.44
0.77
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.81 for Manchester United and 1.19 for Fulham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 85' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Fulham · Joachim Andersen · 13' · No goal · 4 m · 0.34 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 48' · No goal · 11 m · 0.29 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 75' · No goal · 5 m · 0.28 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 75' · No goal · 8 m · 0.24 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 81' · No goal · 7 m · 0.23 xG Manchester United · Harry Maguire · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.21 xG Fulham · Sander Berge · 52' · No goal · 6 m · 0.21 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 19' · Goal · 5 m · 0.19 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 90' · Goal · 14 m · 0.15 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 56' · Goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 5' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 73' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 65' · No goal · 22 m · 0.07 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 41' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Fulham · Harry Wilson · 52' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Fulham · Joachim Andersen · 82' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Fulham · Joachim Andersen · 4' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Harry Maguire · 9' · No goal · 4 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Diogo Dalot · 56' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Fulham · Kevin · 90' · Goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Fulham · Samuel Chukwueze · 15' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Alex Iwobi · 40' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Emile Smith Rowe · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Kobbie Mainoo · 72' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Harry Wilson · 35' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

27 shots · 3.83 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester United
  • Fulham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester United

1.52 xG created 0.86 xGA

  • W 1.17 created, 1.18 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 0.84 created, 1.16 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 1.58 created, 0.90 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 2.55 created, 0.24 conceded against Burnley
  • W 2.27 created, 0.45 conceded against Manchester City
  • W 0.73 created, 1.20 conceded against Arsenal
Fulham

1.14 xG created 1.59 xGA

  • W 1.62 created, 0.91 conceded against West Ham United
  • D 1.76 created, 1.93 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 0.74 created, 1.37 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.20 created, 2.39 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 0.39 created, 1.43 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.13 created, 1.50 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester United: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.