xgEdge

Wednesday, 07/01/2026 at 21:15

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Match report · Premier League

Burnley 2:2 Manchester United

Burnley Home 0.24 xG · 8 shots
Manchester United Away 2.55 xG · 30 shots
22 Manchester United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 13' Ayden Heaven (o.g.) Burnley · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
  2. 50' Benjamin Šeško Manchester United · 0.40 xG chance 1–1
  3. 60' Benjamin Šeško Manchester United · 0.17 xG chance 1–2
  4. 66' Jaidon Anthony Burnley · 0.06 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Burnley Manchester United
Shots
8
30
On target
2
10
Inside the box
6
21
xG per shot
0.05
0.08
Open play xG
0.31
1.87
Set-piece xG
0.07
0.65
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.28 for Burnley and 2.60 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 50' · Goal · 8 m · 0.40 xG Manchester United · Ayden Heaven · 57' · No goal · 3 m · 0.28 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 81' · No goal · 9 m · 0.21 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 60' · Goal · 11 m · 0.17 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 27' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Burnley · Ayden Heaven · 13' · Goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 41' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 72' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Leny Yoro · 78' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 69' · No goal · 25 m · 0.07 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 47' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 55' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 66' · Goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 79' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Manchester United · Manuel Ugarte · 44' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 7' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 43' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Manuel Ugarte · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Joshua Zirkzee · 81' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 84' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Shea Lacey · 85' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Joshua Zirkzee · 85' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 10' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 24' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Lucas Pires · 32' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 65' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 71' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Diogo Dalot · 88' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Manuel Ugarte · 42' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Armando Broja · 53' · No goal · 5 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Kobbie Mainoo · 88' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Shea Lacey · 90' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 31' · No goal · 15 m · 0.01 xG Manchester United · Lisandro Martínez · 52' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 55' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

38 shots · 2.90 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Burnley
  • Manchester United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Burnley

1.21 xG created 1.67 xGA

  • L 1.61 created, 1.77 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 2.46 created, 2.23 conceded against Fulham
  • D 0.38 created, 1.41 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 1.41 created, 0.82 conceded against Everton
  • L 1.09 created, 2.31 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 0.30 created, 1.45 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United

2.09 xG created 1.19 xGA

  • W 4.24 created, 0.41 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 3.40 created, 1.94 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.33 created, 1.54 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 1.17 created, 1.18 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 0.84 created, 1.16 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 1.58 created, 0.90 conceded against Leeds United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Burnley: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.