Newcastle United 3:1 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United Home 3.16 xG · 13 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 1.53 xG · 13 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

12' William Osula Newcastle United · 0.40 xG chance 1–0
24' Dan Burn Newcastle United · 0.17 xG chance 2–0
61' Jack Hinshelwood Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.36 xG chance 2–1
90' Harvey Barnes Newcastle United · 0.25 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 13; 13
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 12; 10
xG per shot: 0.25; 0.13
Open play xG: 2.10; 1.51
Set-piece xG: 1.21; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.26 for Newcastle United and 1.64 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 4.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Newcastle United

1.44 xG created 1.87 xGA

W 2.22 created, 1.28 conceded against Manchester United
W 1.42 created, 1.43 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.27 created, 2.45 conceded against Sunderland
L 1.13 created, 2.56 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.59 created, 2.99 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.00 created, 0.49 conceded against Arsenal

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.59 xG created 0.80 xGA

L 0.80 created, 0.43 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.57 created, 0.97 conceded against Sunderland
W 2.30 created, 1.03 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.93 created, 0.88 conceded against Burnley
D 0.82 created, 1.09 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 2.14 created, 0.37 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Newcastle United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Newcastle United 18/10/2025 xG 0.91 – 1.45

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.