West Ham United 1:2 Nottingham Forest: xG & match report · Premier League

Tuesday, 06/01/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

West Ham United Home 0.95 xG · 15 shots

Nottingham Forest Away 1.38 xG · 13 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Murillo (o.g.) West Ham United · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
55' Nicolás Domínguez Nottingham Forest · 0.07 xG chance 1–1
89' Morgan Gibbs-White (pen.) Nottingham Forest · 0.82 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

West Ham United Nottingham Forest

Shots: 15; 13
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 11; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.64; 0.27
Set-piece xG: 0.45; 0.33
Penalties: 0; 1

West Ham United's shots add up to 1.09 xG and Nottingham Forest's to 1.42; the published figures are 0.95 and 1.38.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.51 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

West Ham United
Nottingham Forest
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

West Ham United

1.06 xG created 1.85 xGA

D 1.14 created, 1.87 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 1.03 created, 0.67 conceded against Aston Villa
L 0.98 created, 2.10 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.91 created, 1.62 conceded against Fulham
D 2.06 created, 2.94 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.25 created, 1.87 conceded against Wolverhampton

Nottingham Forest

1.01 xG created 1.21 xGA

L 0.53 created, 1.12 conceded against Everton
W 1.91 created, 0.37 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 0.60 created, 1.50 conceded against Fulham
L 0.59 created, 1.39 conceded against Manchester City
L 1.55 created, 1.26 conceded against Everton
L 0.89 created, 1.59 conceded against Aston Villa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

West Ham United: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Nottingham Forest 0:3 West Ham United 31/08/2025 xG 0.73 – 2.42

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.