xgEdge

Expected goals

NK Olimpija Ljubljana expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

PrvaLiga (Slovenia) · after 10 matches · updated 1 Oct

NK Olimpija Ljubljana's attacking and defensive expected goals in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

NK Olimpija Ljubljana xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.66 xG per match
#2/10
Attack (xG per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.76
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.66
#3 NK Celje 1.59
#4 FC Koper 1.53
#5 NK Bravo 1.48
#6 NK Maribor 1.48
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.44
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 1.31
#9 NŠ Mura 1.26
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 1.25
League avg
1.48
Total
16.61 10 matches
Defence
1.32 xGA per match
#4/10
Defence (xGA per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 NK Maribor 0.84
#2 NK Celje 1.05
#3 FC Koper 1.28
#4 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.32
#5 NŠ Mura 1.39
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.48
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.70
#8 Brinje Grosuplje 1.77
#9 NK Bravo 1.92
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 1.96
League avg
1.48
Total
13.17 10 matches
xG difference
+0.34 xGD per match
#3/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 NK Maribor +0.64
#2 NK Celje +0.54
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana +0.34
#4 FC Koper +0.25
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 +0.05
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo -0.05
#7 NŠ Mura -0.13
#8 NK Bravo -0.44
#9 Brinje Grosuplje -0.52
#10 Kalcer Radomlje -0.65
League avg
0.00
Total
+3.44 10 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.61 xPts per match
#3/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 NK Maribor 1.84
#2 NK Celje 1.78
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.61
#4 FC Koper 1.55
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.37
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.29
#7 NŠ Mura 1.22
#8 NK Bravo 1.06
#9 Brinje Grosuplje 1.06
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 0.99
League avg
1.37
Total
16.05 vs 14 actual pts

What the xG says

NK Olimpija Ljubljana's underlying numbers are among the best in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.34 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 10 goals are 6.61 below 16.61 xG, while 14 points are 2.05 below 16.05 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
10 16.61 -6.61 scored 6.61 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 13.17 -5.17 conceded 5.17 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
14 16.05 -2.05 2.05 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

NK Olimpija Ljubljana are 6.61 goals below their xG after 10 matches. The gap was widest at -7.52, against Kalcer Radomlje on Sat 29/08.

Goals
10
xG
16.61
Gap
-6.61
Sat 18/07 Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 -1.76 -2.88 -4.00 -4.44 -3.90 -4.82 -7.52 -7.39 -5.88 -6.61 -1.76 -1.12 -1.12 -0.44 +0.54 -0.92 -2.70 +0.13 +1.51 -0.73 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
NK Olimpija Ljubljana: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 18/07 NK Bravo 0 1.76 -1.76 -1.76
Sat 25/07 NŠ Mura 0 1.12 -1.12 -2.88
Sun 02/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1 2.12 -1.12 -4.00
Sat 08/08 NK Celje 0 0.44 -0.44 -4.44
Sat 15/08 NK Maribor 1 0.46 +0.54 -3.90
Fri 21/08 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1 1.92 -0.92 -4.82
Sat 29/08 Kalcer Radomlje 0 2.70 -2.70 -7.52
Sat 05/09 Brinje Grosuplje 3 2.87 +0.13 -7.39
Sat 12/09 FC Koper 3 1.49 +1.51 -5.88
Sun 20/09 NK Bravo 1 1.73 -0.73 -6.61

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

NK Olimpija Ljubljana xG trend

Current form +0.74 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 10 matches. The worst was against NK Celje on Sat 08/08 (-1.15).

npxG · last 6
1.87
npxGA · last 6
1.13
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.68 Sat 18/07 +0.82 Sat 25/07 +1.34 Sun 02/08 -1.15 Sat 08/08 -0.52 Sat 15/08 -0.70 Fri 21/08 +1.43 Sat 29/08 +1.97 Sat 05/09 +0.90 Sat 12/09 +1.33 Sun 20/09 +0.47 season avg
NK Olimpija Ljubljana: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 18/07 NK Bravo 1.76 2.44 -0.68 -0.68
Sat 25/07 NŠ Mura 1.12 0.30 +0.82 +0.07
Sun 02/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.91 0.57 +1.34 +0.49
Sat 08/08 NK Celje 0.44 1.59 -1.15 +0.08
Sat 15/08 NK Maribor 0.46 0.98 -0.52 -0.04
Fri 21/08 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.92 2.62 -0.70 -0.15
Sat 29/08 Kalcer Radomlje 2.71 1.28 +1.43 +0.08
Sat 05/09 Brinje Grosuplje 2.87 0.90 +1.97 +0.31
Sat 12/09 FC Koper 1.50 0.60 +0.90 +0.38
Sun 20/09 NK Bravo 1.73 0.40 +1.33 +0.47

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.64 npxG and 1.17 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 10

  1. NK Bravo Away −0.09
  2. FC Koper Away +0.15
  3. Brinje Grosuplje Home −0.27
  4. Kalcer Radomlje Away −0.52
  5. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20
  6. NK Maribor Home +0.38
  7. NK Celje Away +0.35
  8. NK Aluminij Kidričevo Home −0.28
  9. NŠ Mura Away +0.23
  10. NK Bravo Home −0.09

Last 5

−0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 10

  1. NK Bravo Away −0.09
  2. FC Koper Away +0.15
  3. Brinje Grosuplje Home −0.27
  4. Kalcer Radomlje Away −0.52
  5. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

NK Olimpija Ljubljana shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. NK Olimpija Ljubljana take 14.9 shots a match (league 11.8) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #1 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) for volume and #8 for quality. 50% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.9 shots per match
#1/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 14.9
#2 NK Maribor 13.8
#3 NK Celje 12.1
#4 NŠ Mura 12.1
#5 FC Koper 12.0
#6 NK Bravo 11.9
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 11.4
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 10.9
#9 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 10.0
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 8.8
League avg
11.8
Total
149 shots from 10 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#8/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.15
#2 Brinje Grosuplje 0.14
#3 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.14
#4 NK Celje 0.12
#5 FC Koper 0.12
#6 Kalcer Radomlje 0.11
#7 NK Bravo 0.11
#8 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.11
#9 NŠ Mura 0.10
#10 NK Maribor 0.10
League avg
0.12
Total
16.42 npxG from 149 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.6 shots per match
#2/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Maribor 8.7
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 9.6
#3 NK Celje 9.9
=4 Brinje Grosuplje 10.8
=4 NŠ Mura 10.8
#6 FC Koper 11.5
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 12.1
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 12.8
#9 NK Bravo 14.6
#10 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 17.1
League avg
11.8
Total
96 shots allowed from 10 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#7/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 NK Maribor 0.10
#2 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.10
#3 NK Celje 0.11
#4 FC Koper 0.11
#5 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.11
#6 NŠ Mura 0.12
#7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.12
#8 NK Bravo 0.13
#9 Kalcer Radomlje 0.15
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 0.16
League avg
0.12
Total
11.68 npxGA from 96 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

50% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 74 of 149 shots over 10 matches

Shots allowed, location

58% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 56 of 96 shots allowed over 10 matches

How the shot figures are made →

NK Olimpija Ljubljana home and away xG

NK Olimpija Ljubljana per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 5
xG / match 1.83 1.50
xGA / match 1.50 1.14
xGD / match +0.33 +0.36
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.56 1.65

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every NK Olimpija Ljubljana match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10
xG / match
1.66
xGA / match
1.32
xGD / match
+0.34
Points
14 of 30
  1. Sun 20/09 NK Bravo A xG 1.73 xGA 1.92 P xGD -0.19
  2. Sat 12/09 FC Koper A xG 1.49 xGA 0.60 xGD +0.89
  3. Sat 05/09 Brinje Grosuplje H Best underlying xG 2.87 xGA 0.90 xGD +1.97
  4. Sat 29/08 Kalcer Radomlje A xG 2.70 xGA 1.27 xGD +1.43
  5. Fri 21/08 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 H xG 1.92 xGA 2.62 xGD -0.70
  6. Sat 15/08 NK Maribor H xG 0.46 xGA 0.97 xGD -0.51
  7. Sat 08/08 NK Celje A Weakest underlying xG 0.44 xGA 1.59 xGD -1.15
  8. Sun 02/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo H xG 2.12 xGA 0.56 xGD +1.56
  9. Sat 25/07 NŠ Mura A xG 1.12 xGA 0.30 xGD +0.82
  10. Sat 18/07 NK Bravo H xG 1.76 xGA 2.44 xGD -0.68

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

NK Olimpija Ljubljana in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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