xgEdge

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 15:00

Full time
Match report · Serie A

Cagliari 1:2 Como

Cagliari Home 0.47 xG · 8 shots
Como Away 0.55 xG · 8 shots
12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 14' Martin Baturina Como · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
  2. 56' Sebastiano Esposito Cagliari · 0.21 xG chance 1–1
  3. 76' Lucas Da Cunha Como · 0.02 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Cagliari Como
Shots
8
8
On target
3
2
Inside the box
4
4
xG per shot
0.06
0.07
Open play xG
0.46
0.42
Set-piece xG
0.02
0.13
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.47 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Cagliari · Sebastiano Esposito · 56' · Goal · 8 m · 0.21 xG Como · Martin Baturina · 14' · Goal · 12 m · 0.16 xG Cagliari · Michel Adopo · 86' · No goal · 12 m · 0.11 xG Como · Nico Paz · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Como · Álvaro Morata · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.08 xG Como · Lucas Da Cunha · 14' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Como · Jesús Rodriguez · 51' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Como · Álvaro Morata · 64' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Cagliari · Michel Adopo · 18' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Cagliari · Michael Folorunsho · 38' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Cagliari · Adam Obert · 56' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Como · Nico Paz · 75' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Como · Lucas Da Cunha · 76' · Goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Cagliari · Semih Kılıçsoy · 82' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Cagliari · Michael Folorunsho · 31' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Cagliari · Yael Trepy · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Cagliari
  • Como
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Cagliari

0.89 xG created 1.21 xGA

  • W 1.08 created, 2.15 conceded against Fiorentina
  • W 1.68 created, 0.46 conceded against Hellas Verona
  • L 0.35 created, 1.33 conceded against Roma
  • L 1.01 created, 1.35 conceded against Lecce
  • D 0.67 created, 0.69 conceded against Lazio
  • D 0.52 created, 1.28 conceded against Parma
Como

2.43 xG created 0.71 xGA

  • W 2.89 created, 0.48 conceded against Torino
  • D 5.24 created, 0.52 conceded against Atalanta
  • L 0.84 created, 1.53 conceded against Fiorentina
  • D 1.45 created, 0.76 conceded against Milan
  • W 1.41 created, 0.70 conceded against Juventus
  • W 2.77 created, 0.24 conceded against Lecce

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Cagliari: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.