Milan 1:1 Como: xG & match report · Serie A

Wednesday, 18/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 0.76 xG · 6 shots

Como Away 1.45 xG · 10 shots

11 Como had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

32' Nico Paz Como · 0.38 xG chance 0–1
64' Rafael Leão Milan · 0.12 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Milan Como

Shots: 6; 10
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 5; 7
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.66; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.61
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.76 for Milan and 1.45 for Como.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

16 shots · 2.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Como
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.87 xG created 1.32 xGA

D 1.93 created, 1.90 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.28 created, 1.87 conceded against Como
W 2.60 created, 0.17 conceded against Lecce
D 0.44 created, 2.75 conceded against Roma
W 2.62 created, 0.45 conceded against Bologna
W 2.35 created, 0.77 conceded against Pisa

Como

2.25 xG created 0.87 xGA

D 0.84 created, 1.15 conceded against Bologna
L 1.87 created, 1.28 conceded against Milan
W 1.83 created, 0.27 conceded against Lazio
W 2.89 created, 0.48 conceded against Torino
D 5.24 created, 0.52 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.84 created, 1.53 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Milan: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Como 1:3 Milan 15/01/2026 xG 1.87 – 1.28

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.