Napoli xG 2026/2027: expected goals, xGA & xPts per match

Napoli xG and xGA per match

Attack

1.44 xG per match

Attack (xG per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	xG per match
#1	Inter	2.90
#2	Roma	2.56
#3	Como	1.89
#4	Monza	1.79
#5	Sassuolo	1.73
#6	Fiorentina	1.72
#7	Milan	1.58
#8	Juventus	1.55
#9	Lazio	1.55
#10	Frosinone	1.51
#11	Venezia	1.49
#12	Napoli	1.44
#13	Udinese	1.40
#14	Bologna	1.18
#15	Cagliari	1.09
#16	Lecce	1.06
#17	Torino	1.03
#18	Genoa	0.89
#19	Atalanta	0.81
#20	Parma	0.68

League avg: 1.49
Total: 7.18 5 matches

Defence

1.40 xGA per match

#11/20

Defence (xGA per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	xGA per match
#1	Juventus	0.48
#2	Bologna	0.95
#3	Monza	1.06
#4	Roma	1.11
#5	Milan	1.18
#6	Lazio	1.24
=7	Genoa	1.33
=7	Sassuolo	1.33
#9	Fiorentina	1.33
#10	Inter	1.34
#11	Napoli	1.40
#12	Como	1.53
#13	Parma	1.58
#14	Torino	1.69
#15	Cagliari	1.76
#16	Udinese	1.84
#17	Atalanta	1.87
#18	Frosinone	2.10
#19	Venezia	2.35
#20	Lecce	2.38

League avg: 1.49
Total: 7.01 5 matches

xG difference

+0.03 xGD per match

#11/20

xG difference (xGD per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	xGD per match
#1	Inter	+1.55
#2	Roma	+1.45
#3	Juventus	+1.07
#4	Monza	+0.73
#5	Sassuolo	+0.41
#6	Milan	+0.40
#7	Fiorentina	+0.39
#8	Como	+0.36
#9	Lazio	+0.30
#10	Bologna	+0.24
#11	Napoli	+0.03
=12	Genoa	-0.44
=12	Udinese	-0.44
#14	Frosinone	-0.59
#15	Torino	-0.66
#16	Cagliari	-0.66
#17	Venezia	-0.87
#18	Parma	-0.90
#19	Atalanta	-1.06
#20	Lecce	-1.32

League avg: 0.00
Total: +0.17 5 matches

Expected points Model

1.50 xPts per match

#11/20

Expected points (xPts per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	xPts per match
#1	Roma	2.23
#2	Juventus	2.23
#3	Inter	2.21
#4	Monza	1.89
#5	Fiorentina	1.69
#6	Milan	1.63
#7	Sassuolo	1.63
#8	Lazio	1.62
#9	Como	1.60
#10	Bologna	1.55
#11	Napoli	1.50
#12	Udinese	1.13
#13	Cagliari	1.11
#14	Genoa	1.00
#15	Frosinone	0.98
#16	Venezia	0.93
#17	Torino	0.88
#18	Parma	0.70
#19	Atalanta	0.67
#20	Lecce	0.60

League avg: 1.39
Total: 7.50 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Napoli's underlying numbers sit close to the Serie A average. They rank #11 for xG difference at +0.03 per match, built on high chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 7 goals are 0.18 below 7.18 xG, while 7 points are 0.50 below 7.50 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected

Goals vs xG

7 7.18 -0.18 scored 0.18 fewer than xG within normal variance

Goals conceded vs xGA

6 7.01 -1.01 conceded 1.01 fewer than xGA within normal variance

Points vs xPts Model

7 7.50 -0.50 0.50 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Napoli are 0.18 goals below their xG after 5 matches.

Goals: 7
xG: 7.18
Gap: -0.18

Napoli: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Goals	xG	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 22/08	Genoa	2	0.77	+1.23	+1.23
Sun 30/08	Como	1	1.39	-0.39	+0.84
Sat 05/09	Inter	2	2.43	-0.43	+0.41
Sun 13/09	Bologna	1	1.19	-0.19	+0.22
Sun 20/09	Fiorentina	1	1.40	-0.40	-0.18

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Napoli have conceded 1.01 fewer than their xGA after 5 matches.

Conceded: 6
xGA: 7.01
Gap: -1.01

Napoli: Goals conceded vs xGA, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Conceded	xGA	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 22/08	Genoa	0	0.67	-0.67	-0.67
Sun 30/08	Como	2	1.05	+0.95	+0.28
Sat 05/09	Inter	3	3.86	-0.86	-0.58
Sun 13/09	Bologna	0	0.29	-0.29	-0.87
Sun 20/09	Fiorentina	1	1.14	-0.14	-1.01

Points minus xPts, match by match

Napoli are 0.50 points below their xPts after 5 matches. The gap was widest at -0.73, against Inter on Sat 05/09.

Points: 7
xPts: 7.50
Gap: -0.50

Napoli: Points vs xPts, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Points	xPts	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 22/08	Genoa	3	1.42	+1.58	+1.58
Sun 30/08	Como	0	1.64	-1.64	-0.06
Sat 05/09	Inter	0	0.67	-0.67	-0.73
Sun 13/09	Bologna	3	2.20	+0.80	+0.07
Sun 20/09	Fiorentina	1	1.57	-0.57	-0.50

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Napoli xG trend

Current form +0.31 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 5 matches. The only negative was against Inter on Sat 05/09 (-0.94).

npxG · last 5: 1.52
npxGA · last 5: 1.21

Napoli: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date	Opponent	npxG	npxGA	npxGD	Avg so far
Sat 22/08	Genoa	0.75	0.65	+0.10	+0.10
Sun 30/08	Como	1.35	1.02	+0.33	+0.22
Sat 05/09	Inter	2.25	3.19	-0.94	-0.17
Sun 13/09	Bologna	1.81	0.25	+1.56	+0.26
Sun 20/09	Fiorentina	1.45	0.94	+0.51	+0.31

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.52 npxG and 1.21 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far: number 1 hardest of 20 in Serie A; +0.21 xG vs league average; Over 5 league matches

Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.21 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 20

Fiorentina Away +0.03
Bologna Home +0.05
Inter Away +0.75
Como Home +0.48
Genoa Away −0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Napoli shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. Napoli take 13.8 shots a match (league 14.6) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Serie A for volume and #4 for quality. 70% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 13% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume

13.8 shots per match

#11/20

Shot volume (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Como	23.4
#2	Inter	23.2
#3	Roma	20.6
#4	Juventus	17.6
#5	Sassuolo	17.2
=6	Fiorentina	16.8
=6	Frosinone	16.8
#8	Monza	14.4
#9	Udinese	14.2
#10	Venezia	14.0
#11	Napoli	13.8
#12	Bologna	13.4
=13	Lazio	12.8
=13	Milan	12.8
=15	Atalanta	11.8
=15	Genoa	11.8
#17	Cagliari	10.8
#18	Torino	9.4
#19	Lecce	8.4
#20	Parma	8.2

League avg: 14.6
Total: 69 shots from 5 matches

Chance quality

0.11 npxG per shot

#4/20

Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	npxG per shot
#1	Roma	0.13
#2	Inter	0.12
#3	Monza	0.11
#4	Napoli	0.11
#5	Lecce	0.11
#6	Milan	0.11
#7	Lazio	0.11
#8	Venezia	0.10
#9	Fiorentina	0.10
#10	Torino	0.09
#11	Sassuolo	0.09
#12	Bologna	0.09
#13	Juventus	0.09
#14	Udinese	0.09
#15	Frosinone	0.09
#16	Como	0.08
#17	Parma	0.08
#18	Cagliari	0.08
#19	Genoa	0.06
#20	Atalanta	0.06

League avg: 0.10
Total: 7.61 npxG from 69 shots

Defence

Shots allowed

16.6 shots per match

=14/20

Shots allowed (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Juventus	7.8
#2	Milan	9.0
#3	Roma	9.2
#4	Inter	11.4
=5	Bologna	11.8
=5	Fiorentina	11.8
=5	Monza	11.8
#8	Lazio	13.0
#9	Venezia	14.4
#10	Como	15.0
#11	Torino	15.4
=12	Genoa	15.8
=12	Sassuolo	15.8
=14	Lecce	16.6
=14	Napoli	16.6
#16	Udinese	17.2
#17	Parma	18.4
#18	Atalanta	19.2
#19	Cagliari	20.4
#20	Frosinone	20.8

League avg: 14.6
Total: 83 shots allowed from 5 matches

Chance quality allowed

0.07 npxGA per shot

#3/20

Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank	Club	npxGA per shot
#1	Juventus	0.06
#2	Sassuolo	0.07
#3	Napoli	0.07
#4	Genoa	0.08
#5	Cagliari	0.08
#6	Bologna	0.08
#7	Lazio	0.08
#8	Frosinone	0.09
#9	Torino	0.09
#10	Como	0.09
#11	Monza	0.09
#12	Parma	0.09
#13	Atalanta	0.09
#14	Udinese	0.11
#15	Roma	0.11
#16	Inter	0.11
#17	Fiorentina	0.11
#18	Milan	0.13
#19	Lecce	0.14
#20	Venezia	0.15

League avg: 0.10
Total: 6.05 npxGA from 83 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

70% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 48 of 69 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 52 of 83 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

87% open play · 13% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 1.0 of 7.6 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 1.3 of 6.0 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Napoli home and away xG

Napoli per-match figures at home and away
Measure	Home only 2 matches with xG	Away
Matches	2	3
xG / match	1.29	1.53
xGA / match	0.67	1.89
xGD / match	+0.62	-0.36
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →	1.92	1.22

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Napoli match by xG

Window

Season Last 10 Last 5

Venue

All Home Away

Sort

Date xGD

This season

Matches: 5
xG / match: 1.44
xGA / match: 1.40
xGD / match: +0.03
Points: 7 of 15

Date Opponent Score xG Chances xGA xGD xPts Model

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.86. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Napoli in Serie A

Attack

xG / match #12 of 20
Shots / match #11 of 20
Chance quality #4 of 20
Home xG #16 of 20
Away xG #6 of 20

Defence

xGA / match #11 of 20
Shots allowed =14 of 20
Chance quality allowed #3 of 20

Overall

About the data

xG data: Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics: xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics: xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

Napoli expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Napoli xG and xGA per match

What the xG says

Actual vs expected

Goals minus xG, match by match

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Points minus xPts, match by match

Napoli xG trend

Strength of schedule

Napoli shots and chance quality

Attack

Defence

Shot profile

Napoli home and away xG

Every Napoli match by xG

Napoli in Serie A

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data